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Modern War Institute

After the Wagner Mutiny, What Next for the War in Ukraine?

Modern War Institute

John Amble

Government, News

4.7798 Ratings

🗓️ 29 June 2023

⏱️ 25 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

When Yevgeny Prighozin, the head of the Wagner Group, released a video on June 23 that criticized Russian leaders' management of the war in Ukraine, it was the first in a series of extraordinary events that played out with the world watching. One of those people watching closely as the private military company's forces entered the city of Rostov-on-Don and began an advance toward Moscow was retired Lieutenant General Ben Hodges. A former commanding general of US Army Europe, he joins this episode to lend his extensive experience and nuanced understanding of Russia and European security to a discussion that aims to contextualize the remarkable recent events in Russia and explore how they will impact the ongoing war in Ukraine.

Transcript

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0:00.0

These are not the kind of things that happen in an army that is confident that it's on a path to victory.

0:10.0

Progossian is not a sympathetic figure, nor are any of his soldiers sympathetic figures, his mercenaries.

0:18.0

He's a businessman and he's a showman and he's quite good at

0:23.6

making it look as if he's the only one that's accomplished anything.

0:27.6

The Ukrainians are not going to sit around and wait on us. I think there are special forces

0:33.6

and partisans are working overtime back in the rear. I would hate to be a Russian truck driver or a dude pulling security on the bridge.

0:40.0

I mean, it's going to be pretty grim for them.

0:44.7

Hey, welcome back to the Modern War Institute podcast.

0:47.7

I'm John Ambo, editorial director at MWI,

0:49.9

and I'm joined on this episode by retired Lieutenant General Ben Hodges.

0:53.8

He is a former

0:54.8

commanding general of U.S. Army Europe, and he has been a keen observer of the ongoing war in Ukraine.

1:01.8

Given his background and his understanding of the European security landscape, he has

1:06.3

exceptional insights on that conflict, from its strategic framework and implications to the way it's

1:11.0

playing out at a tactical level. Like many of us, he was watching the extraordinary events

1:16.3

in Russia in recent days as Yvgeny Progogsian, the head of the Wagner private military company

1:20.7

launched effectively a mutiny in Russia, leading a convoy of military vehicles in a movement

1:26.0

toward Moscow before suddenly backing

1:28.2

down. There is so much in this series of events that warrants examination, and General Hodges

1:33.4

joined me for a quick discussion to share some of his thoughts. Before we get to it, as always,

1:38.3

a couple quick notes. First, if you're not yet subscribed to the MWI podcast, you can find it on

1:42.7

Apple Podcast, Stitcher,

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