This is GPS, the Global Public Square. Welcome to all of you in the United States and around

the world. I'm Farid Zakaria coming to you live from New York.

Today on the show, Russia threatens to send nuclear weapons to its western borders, not

to deal with Ukraine, but rather Finland and Sweden, who may soon ask for NATO membership.

What happens if they do? I will talk to Sweden's former Prime Minister, Karl Bilt. And understanding

the breadth of Putin's clamp down inside Russia, including this week's jailing of another

prominent Putin critic. I'll be joined by Bill Browder, who was once the largest foreign

investor in Russia. Then China under lockdown as COVID comes back to the country where it originated

with the vengeance. 25 million people in Shanghai alone are under very strict measures. I'll

check in with one of them, CNN's David Culber.

But first here's my take. Ukraine's brave and brilliant response to Russia's attack

is rightly being celebrated across the world. But it might be obscuring a growing danger.

While the assault on Kiev and the surrounding region has failed, Moscow's strategy in the

south and east of Ukraine could well succeed. If it does, Russia will have turned Ukraine

into an economically crippled rump state, landlocked and threatened on three sides by Russian

military power, always vulnerable to another incursion from Moscow. It will take much more

military assistance from the West to ensure that this catastrophic outcome does not come

to pass. As John Kosopoğlu, a military scholar and strategist, pressiantly pointed out

in the first few weeks of the war in an essay for the Hudson Institute, there are two distinct

wars taking place in Ukraine, one in the north and one in the south. And the latter

has been radically more successful for Moscow than the one in the north. Russia has been able

to move forces and supplies out of its bases in Crimea and capture the cities of Melitopol

...