This is GPS, the global public square. Welcome to all of you in the United States

and around the world. I'm Farid Zakaria coming to you live from New York.

Today on the program Vladimir Putin's war in Ukraine. What comes next? First I

talk to General Mark Hurtling about Russia's new Eastern offensive and

Ukraine's efforts to counter it. Then President Zelensky announces a high level

visit of the American Secretaries of State and Defense to Kiev today. David

Miliband, Kishore Mabubani and Anne-Marie Slaughter will join me to talk about

aid to Ukraine, sanctions, the refugee crisis and more. And as another Earth

day passes we will bring you a big idea about how to win countries like

China and India off coal. But first here's my take. The next phase in the war in

Ukraine is now apparent. Over the next few weeks and months Russian forces will

try to expand control of their occupied territories in Eastern Ukraine and

Digen. The Ukrainian army and people will resist fiercely and low-grade

battles will likely persist in these areas as they have in Donbas since 2014.

That means the only way out of this conflict is to put enough pressure on

Russia to force it to the negotiating table and seek sanctions relief in

exchange for peace deal. To achieve this the coalition against it needs the

staying power to maintain and even ratchet up sanctions and embargoes against

Moscow. And that is only conceivable in a scenario in which energy prices come

down from their current highs. If oil prices remain over a hundred dollars a

barrel and they could easily go much higher Europe will soon enter a recession

and the entire global economy will see a drop-off of growth and political

...