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Radical Personal Finance

666-How to Prepare for the Coming Recession

Radical Personal Finance

Joshua J. Sheats, MSFS, CFP, CLU, ChFC, CASL, RHU, REBC, CAP

Self-improvement, Business, Education, Investing

4.21.9K Ratings

🗓️ 3 September 2019

⏱️ 74 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

It's official: the Yield Curve on US Debt is inverted. That's a pretty good indicator that recession is in our future.

So, today I want to tell you how to prepare for the coming recession.

Enjoy! And do.

Joshua

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

It is official. In the United States, the yield curve has inverted. The 90-day T-Bill interest rate is now higher than the 30-year T-Bond rate, barely. And so we now have an inverted yield curve, which is an excellent

0:18.6

sign that we look to to predict a future and coming recession.

0:23.6

So today on Radical Personal Finance, I think it's timely that I talk to you about how to prepare

0:28.3

for the coming recession. in. Welcome to Radical Personal Finance, a show dedicated to providing you with the knowledge,

0:49.7

skills, insight and encouragement you need to live a rich and meaningful life now

0:53.8

while building a plan for financial freedom in 10 years or less. Today on the show

0:58.0

we're going to talk about avoiding catastrophe because I'm going to talk to

1:01.5

you about avoiding the catastrophic or

1:03.8

potentially catastrophic effects of a recession on your financial life. I'm going to give

1:08.0

you the strategies, the steps, and the actions that you need to take to prepare

1:11.7

now.

1:15.0

If you are not familiar with the concept of the inverted yield curve,

1:22.0

it has been in the past decades one of the

1:24.3

more reliable indicators of recession and the most important thing is when the 90-day

1:29.9

T-built rate rises above the 30-year Treasury bond rate.

1:34.6

So once you'd imagine what that means, that means that if you give money to the United States

1:39.6

government, you are promised a lower rate of return if you give that to the government for 30 years

1:46.5

than if you give it to the government for 90 days. That violates all of the normal expectations about investing.

1:54.4

You say, well, I'll give you my money, but pay me 2% for 90 days, but pay me 6% for 30 years.

1:59.0

Well, when that gets out of whack, and you have people saying, pay me 2%% for 90 days but pay me 1.5% for 30 years.

2:06.1

It signals that people are more interested in the return of their money and safety than the return on their money. And this particular inverted

2:15.5

yield curve has historically, fairly predictably been a signal of coming recession. Now it's not exclusive, there's no guarantee. I always try to keep in

...

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