4.6 • 2.4K Ratings
🗓️ 11 March 2025
⏱️ 25 minutes
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0:00.0 | Uh, morning, everyone. Just a little bit here and there talking about market conditions, as you, |
0:07.3 | you may have noticed your portfolio might be taking a little bit of a dive at the moment, |
0:12.8 | and we are in the deep breath, a last breath territory of rescuing capital. So I wanted to |
0:19.2 | share with you my thoughts. Usual caveats, of course. |
0:21.4 | I'm not an expert. This is no, this is not financial advice, do your own research, make your |
0:27.3 | own decisions. This is just my sort of obvious, foolish, amateur thoughts on the entire situation. |
0:32.7 | So what I think is going on as a whole is two things, doge and tariffs, and they're kind of related. |
0:42.8 | So one thing that's important to understand about the economy, of course, is that when there's |
0:49.5 | a lot of economic changes, there are always losses before there are gains, right? So horse and buggy |
0:57.1 | manufacturers, there's a lot of investment in that. When cars are invented, horse and buggy |
1:03.1 | manufacturer stocks go down in general before the automobile stocks go up. So there is loss before there is gain. |
1:13.6 | Because you've got a lot of capital allocated |
1:15.7 | to the existing structure of society. |
1:21.2 | And when that structure changes, |
1:23.2 | capital has to reallocate. |
1:24.9 | There's certainty in what was, |
1:26.3 | there's uncertainty in what will be. |
1:28.8 | And so you're moving from a place where you know, you get profit, to a place where you don't |
1:35.8 | know if you're going to get profit. So you think of a well that you go to and then the well |
1:40.3 | dries up. Well, maybe the well you go to find the new well, it will be better, |
1:45.0 | but for sure, you're going to be thirsty for a while. So a doge and tariffs, and to a smaller |
1:53.9 | degree, AI, because that's been coming for a while, but the acceleration in AI is extraordinary. |
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