52: Flood Data Shows Alarming Trends, Surpassing Previous Modeling Estimates. Professor Beth Tellman (University of Arizona Geography Department; Cloud to Street) highlights that her compiled flood data is useful for financial sectors, such as insurance and m
The John Batchelor Show
John Batchelor
4.5 • 2.8K Ratings
🗓️ 5 November 2025
⏱️ 8 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | This is TBS. I'm the World. I'm John Batchel with Professor Beth Tellman, University of Arizona Geography Department. |
| 0:12.5 | Also the chief science officer and co-founder of Cloud District, publishing in Nature magazine, the premier peer-reviewed magazine for science in Europe, matching science here, |
| 0:25.7 | about a database compiled using satellites, NASA satellites, to point to where the flooding has been, |
| 0:34.0 | the early years of the 21st century, where the people are, the movement of people, |
| 0:39.8 | growth of people in the floodplains. And what all that adds up to is, for example, I |
| 0:47.4 | learn in the summary of the article, this is a very useful item for financial speculation about municipal bonds, what is and what is not desirable for insurance, for areas that have experienced floods or might experience floods again. |
| 1:04.6 | A hundred-year flood means you have 1% every year. |
| 1:07.6 | And as we note recently, there are a whole lot of one percenters coming in. So, Professor, |
| 1:13.0 | if I go to the summary correctly, Asia dominates the story. Three hundred and ninety-eight of the |
| 1:20.5 | 913, 52 in China, 85 in India. The ones in China seem especially damaging. |
| 1:29.4 | Did you pick that up with your satellite images? |
| 1:33.2 | Yes. |
| 1:34.4 | There are a lot of floods that were mapping in Asia, generally, southern Asia and Southeast |
| 1:42.2 | Asia specifically, and some of the largest growth we've seen in people building and moving into floodplains has been in these regions. |
| 1:54.0 | So you can see, for example, if you are in the paper on figure four, a lot of these countries on figure four A that you'll see |
| 2:02.7 | lighting up in orange and red. Those are the countries where we've seen a lot of growth in flood |
| 2:08.4 | planes in about the past 20 years. But what's even more concerning is figure 4B. These are |
| 2:15.0 | climate change projections for 2030. You see even more countries in Asia |
| 2:19.5 | start to light up in these yellow and orange colors. And that indicates that climate change |
| 2:25.1 | will significantly increase flood exposure in this region. However, Asia is not the only suspect |
| 2:31.4 | for having to make adjustments, financial adjustments, insurance, |
| 2:35.2 | population. Really, if you live in a floodplain, bad things are going to happen eventually. |
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