266. Trump Turmoil: An investor's perspective

The Rest Is Money

Goalhanger

Politics, Business, News

3.6 • 1.1K Ratings

🗓️ 1 April 2026

⏱️ 49 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

A month into the war in the Middle East, what are investors thinking? Are we heading for a global recession? Who is most exposed? What are the options central banks and governments have for getting through it? What does this mean for the UK economy? How can the government help people with bills without upsetting the bond markets and increase borrowing costs? Plus, what should you be thinking about if you have money in stocks and shares? Karen Ward – Chief Market Strategist EMEA at JP Morgan Asset Management – is back to give us her take on the possible economic outcomes of the geopolitical turmoil. She breaks down what matters and what doesn’t when it comes to understanding market volatility. Plus she explains why she thinks we don’t need to worry about the private credit market taking us into another financial crisis. The Rest is Money is brought to you by Octopus Energy, Britain’s smart energy pioneer. Email: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠the⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠restismoney@goalhanger.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ X: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@TheRestIsMoney⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Instagram: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@TheRestIsMoney⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ TikTok: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@RestIsMoney⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Advertise with us: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Partnerships@goalhanger.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0	That's going to be what really drives his decision making.
0:05.0	The November midterm elections, where his colleagues will be up for re-election and he will find out whether he maintains control of the House of Representatives and the Senate, the two arms of Congress.
0:18.0	And if he loses control of those, then it's very hard for him to do anything
0:23.6	to legislate. And so his mind will be, as we move through the next week's months, increasingly
0:29.5	focused on making sure the outcome of those midterms is good. The big concern when you look at
0:35.3	the US electorate is affordability, cost of living pressures,
0:39.2	very much like here, people fed up of the rising cost of living. And so the longer this goes on
0:46.5	and the longer oil prices remain elevated, it's a tax on our growth.
1:05.3	Hello and welcome to The Rest is Money with me, Steph McGovern.
1:10.3	Back with us is Karen Ward, managing director and chief market strategist for Europe,
1:11.2	Middle Eastern Africa at JPMorgan Asset Management. I wanted to get Karen back on to find out what she thinks
1:16.7	is happening in the markets. It seems to be all anyone's talking about at the moment is the
1:22.0	volatility in oil prices, in what's happening with stocks and shares. And she's got some really
1:28.0	interesting thoughts on it. For example, why you do not need to panic if you do have money
1:34.1	in stocks and shares, whether that's through your pension or ICE's or whatever it is,
1:38.3	and also why she doesn't think we're heading for another financial crisis. So here is my interview with Karen Ward.
1:45.4	Karen, it's lovely to have you back. I feel like you're part of our podcast furniture now.
1:50.0	Obviously, the nicest, most sophisticated is like shares launch or something, not like, you know, a lamp.
1:56.4	I was really keen to get you back on just because of everything that's going on. It just feels really
2:02.2	chaotic and I think there's a lot of people out there just hoping someone sensible like you can
2:08.2	just put some light on it all in terms of do we need to worry what is going on, what are investors
2:14.7	thinking, that type of thing. So I guess my first question is very,
	...

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