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The John Batchelor Show

2/2: UKRAINE: IMMINENT CEASEFIRE? ANATOL LIEVEN, QUINCY INSTITUTE.

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

News, Books, Society & Culture, Arts

4.62.7K Ratings

🗓️ 7 March 2025

⏱️ 7 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

2/2: UKRAINE: IMMINENT CEASEFIRE? ANATOL LIEVEN, QUINCY INSTITUTE.
1840 KHARKIV

Transcript

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0:00.0

I'm John Batchel with my colleague Anatole Levin.

0:06.4

We're going to Moscow, Moscow point of view, not only on the Ukraine matter,

0:11.8

which is pressing the European leaders in yet another emergency meeting in Brussels,

0:17.4

but also the large story of nuclear arsenals, conflict between three powers with nuclear weapons,

0:26.3

that would be Beijing, Moscow, and Washington, and a return to the detente or something that

0:33.5

looks like it of the Cold War. And I told Mr. Trump at one point used a word that has many meanings, but he talked about denuking, denuking.

0:44.7

And there's been indication from the Trump administration in conversation with Moscow that they'd also like to bring in Beijing and talk about reducing the defense budget,

0:56.4

reducing the nuclear weapon arsenals, or even eliminating them.

1:01.1

That's a very large picture.

1:03.9

And your opinion of, is this a possible moment for it, Mr. Trump turning to Moscow rather than Brussels in the road ahead?

1:14.6

Well, yes, I think it certainly is. And I mean, what this also indicates, of course, is that Trump, in a way, sees himself as the new Reagan, you know, who is going to do a deal with Moscow, including, of course, a nuclear

1:31.7

deal, though, you know, in that case, it was Soviet withdrawal from Eastern Europe that ended up

1:39.5

being on the table. But, I mean, obviously, there would be huge, huge complexities about this, especially

1:47.3

if you bring in Beijing. And I don't think it will lead to countries abandoning nuclear

1:52.8

weapons. But certainly, you know, Russia has been demanding, you know, NATO arms limitations in Eastern Europe.

2:06.6

Now, that's not acceptable as it stands, but if you could weave this into a mutual nuclear

2:13.7

reduction agreement, you know, for example, the US does not station intermediate

2:20.7

weapons in Germany and Russia withdraws its from Kaliningrad and Belarus. Then this begins to

2:29.1

look like the basis of a possible compromise deal that would not, you know, simply be surrendered to Russian demands.

2:38.3

And bringing in Beijing, is that a bridge too far because Mr. Trump and his counselors have

2:44.2

spoken of it or at least look to it?

2:46.6

The trade war has a leverage point for the disarmament or the arms control.

...

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