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More or Less

WS More or Less: Coronavirus

More or Less

BBC

News Commentary, Science, Mathematics, News

4.63.7K Ratings

🗓️ 1 February 2020

⏱️ 9 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The WHO have declared a ‘Global Health Emergency’ as health officials are urgently trying to contain the spread of a new coronavirus in China and beyond; but not all the information you read is correct. We fact-check a particularly hyperbolic claim about its spread that’s been doing the rounds on social media.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hello and welcome to More or Less on the BBC World Service.

0:05.0

You're weekly guide to the numbers in our past, present and sometimes even future.

0:10.0

I'm Ruth Alexander.

0:12.0

This week we've been keeping up to date with the latest news about the spread of coronavirus.

0:18.0

The death toll from the coronavirus rises to 41 with authorities in China.

0:23.0

More than 100 people have now died in China as a result of the virus.

0:26.0

Four and a half thousand have been infected.

0:30.0

China says there are now nine and a half thousand cases of coronavirus in the country

0:34.0

and that at least 210 people have died.

0:38.0

And we've also been looking at the chatter on Twitter.

0:42.0

This message peaked our interest.

0:44.0

Holy Mother of God!

0:46.0

The new coronavirus is a 3.8!

0:50.0

How bad is that reproductive R-NOT value?

0:53.0

It is thermonuclear pandemic level bad.

0:57.0

I'm not exaggerating.

0:59.0

Are you sure you're not?

1:01.0

Not even a little?

1:02.0

This message was part of a thread posted last Saturday by Dr Eric Ding, an epidemiologist at the Harvard Chan School of Public Health.

1:10.0

Even if you don't know what an R-NOT value is and will explain that in a moment,

1:15.0

his tweet does sound alarming.

1:18.0

But is it right to call the outbreak a thermonuclear pandemic or describe it as he did in another tweet as...

...

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