Why U.S. Birth Rates Are Dropping
The Brian Lehrer Show
WNYC
4.6 • 1.5K Ratings
🗓️ 6 May 2026
⏱️ 29 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | It's the Brian Larry Show on WNYC. Good morning again, everyone. We turn now to the U.S. |
| 0:16.2 | birth rate. Provisional Centers for Disease Control data released back in April show that U.S. |
| 0:22.4 | fertility rates hit another record low in 2025, marking a 23% decline since 2007. The data show that |
| 0:32.1 | one of the biggest contributors driving down the birth rate is that the teenage birth rates fell |
| 0:36.8 | significantly down seven points |
| 0:39.3 | in 2025, for example, and births for women in their 40s increased. But it's still a huge decline |
| 0:46.7 | overall that concerns policymakers from both sides of the aisle. Low birth rates impact economic growth |
| 0:52.9 | overall with smaller labor markets in the future, |
| 0:56.2 | and a smaller taxpayer base to fund programs like Social Security, the worker-to-retiree ratio. |
| 1:02.4 | Lawmakers on both sides of the aisle are putting forward solutions, and they are vastly different. |
| 1:08.0 | The Right Wing Heritage Foundation put forward a plan earlier this year that seems to put |
| 1:12.3 | the onus on women to forego careers and get married and have kids earlier. Progressives, like |
| 1:20.6 | New York City mayors around Mamdani, are more focused on affordability, providing things like |
| 1:25.4 | free universal child care. To explain what's going on with the |
| 1:29.0 | data and which approaches, if any, might be effective, we're joined by two guests. Jill |
| 1:34.2 | Filippovich is an attorney, columnist at Slate, and has a substack called ThruLine, and Karen |
| 1:40.3 | Gozo is the director of the Carolina Population Center and a sociology professor at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. |
| 1:48.2 | She's one of the leading family demographers in this country. |
| 1:52.2 | Jill, welcome back to WNYC and Karen, welcome. |
| 1:56.1 | Thanks for having me. |
| 1:57.5 | Happy to be here. |
| 1:58.7 | Karen, as a demographer, can you flesh this out for us a little bit? |
... |
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