Why The California Recall Has Grown More Competitive

FiveThirtyEight Politics

ABC News

Politics, News

4.6 • 20.6K Ratings

🗓️ 2 August 2021

⏱️ 55 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

The crew discusses two elections in Ohio this week that will test the sway of the establishment in both parties. They also talk about how the California recall election is shaping up after a recent poll showed increased support for recalling current Governor Gavin Newsom. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0	I don't know if I should admit this. I have yet to see a single Olympic event.
0:03.1	Wow. Is that crazy?
0:04.3	It's not that crazy if you're an American.
0:06.5	Oh, whoa.
0:08.2	Wow.
0:09.9	Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics Podcast.
0:20.2	I'm Gaelin Drug.
0:21.5	It looks like California Governor Gavin Newsom
0:24.4	might have some reason to worry about losing his job.
0:27.6	When the gubernatorial recall election effort began in California,
0:31.9	and up until just recently, Newsom looked like he could pretty easily beat it back.
0:36.4	But two new polls show that Newsom's lead is now within the margin of error.
0:40.7	So today, we're going to take a look at why his support is declining
0:44.0	and how the recall election could shake out.
0:46.6	Also, this Tuesday is election day in Ohio,
0:50.0	and most notably, the primaries in two congressional special elections
0:54.1	will give us a glimpse into where the power lies within the two parties.
0:57.8	In Ohio's 11th congressional district,
0:59.9	the more progressive and establishment parts of the Democratic Party
1:03.1	are going head to head, and in Ohio's 15th,
1:05.6	the power of Trump's endorsement is again being tested.
1:09.4	We've also got a good use or bad use of polling for you all today,
	...

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