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Hi, I'm Anouche and I'm Stephen.

I was on holiday this week.

On today's New Statement Podcast, we discuss Keir Starmer's approval ratings and you ask us,

could there be a progressive alliance in the upcoming by-elections?

So Keir Starmer's approval ratings have dropped since the local election results

and Stephen, you reckon this is the thing the Labour Party should be most worried about.

Why is that? You've been looking at polling for previous or position party leaders, haven't you?

I've written one piece about this and there will be a semi-spiritual sequel inspired by an excellent question

and was retweeted into my feed-on election night, which was what are the electoral events which have changed your thinking?

I thought, oh, I started answering and I thought, actually, I realised I'm going to do one for basically every election I've covered since the last period.

The thing that has always been pretty clear, but the correlation actually seems to have got stronger more recently,

is then broadly, at this point in the parliament, what the polling rating of the Conservatives tell you is that they will get anything between 22% of the vote and 60% of the vote

and what Labour's opinion poll rating tells you is they will get anything between 17% of the vote or 48% of the vote.

I'm not a great deal.

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