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Money For the Rest of Us

Why Is the U.S. Dollar So Strong? Will It Continue?

Money For the Rest of Us

J. David Stein

Investing, Investing Podcast, Business, Economics, Economy

4.5 • 1.4K Ratings

🗓️ 28 September 2022

⏱️ 34 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

What has caused the U.S. dollar's currency exchange rate to be the strongest in twenty years? How a strong dollar leads to slower global economic growth and falling asset prices.

Topics covered include:

  • Why a strong dollar is a no-win situation for the rest of the world
  • Why have inflation and interest rates increased
  • Why recession risks are rising as central banks combat inflation
  • Why asset prices fall when interest rates rise
  • What would cause the U.S. dollar to weaken from these levels
  • How to protect against currency fluctuations


For more information on this episode click here.

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Show Notes

Wall St blames missteps at FedEx as parcel service fails to delivery Steff Chávez and Andrew Edgecliffe-Johnson—Financial Times

The Global Dollar Cycle by Maurice Obstfeld and Haonan Zhou, BPEA Conference Drafts, September 8–9, 2022—Brookings Papers on Economic Activity

Monetary policy challenges posed by global liquidity by Hyun Song Shin—BIS

Dollar beta and stock returns by Valentina Bruno, Ilhyock Shim and Hyun Song Shin—BIS

Wonking Out: The Mysteries of the Almighty Dollar by Paul Krugman—The New York Times

Rents Drop for First Time in Two Years After Climbing to Records by Will Parker—The Wall Street Journal

Stop looking for a bogeyman to explain sterling’s collapse by Kate Martin—Financial Times

British Pound / US Dollar Historical Reference Rates from Bank of England for 1975 to 2022—Pound Sterling Live


Related Episodes

215: Is A Dollar Collapse Coming?

338: The National Debt, Inflation, and the U.S. Dollar—What Could Go Wrong?

364: Should You Hedge Your International Stock Exposure Against Currency Fluctuations?

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Money for the Rest of Us. This is a personal financial on money, how it works,

0:06.2

how to invest it, how to live without worrying about it. I'm your host David Stein, today's

0:11.3

episode 404. It's titled, Why is the US dollar so strong? Will it continue? The US dollar

0:18.5

is the strongest it has been since the year 2000. By strong, I mean US dollar is worth

0:25.0

more when converting it to a different currency. The US dollar can buy more when you exchange

0:32.3

it and then try to buy things in a different country. A strong US dollar means imports

0:37.9

into the US or cheaper and exports from US to other countries are more expensive, including

0:44.4

the massive food exports that the US sends around the world. Last week in our weekly email

0:49.9

newsletter, The Insiders Guide, I wrote about how Japan hadn't opened up its country to

0:57.6

let informed visitors. The next day they did. And a few days after that, my son, my

1:03.6

old son booked a trip to Japan. I mentioned he'd been trying to get back there for a number

1:09.1

of years but wasn't able to. It's an excellent time to travel to Japan because the

1:15.5

yen is the weakest it's been relative to the US dollar since 1998, which means Camden's

1:23.4

money will go further when he visits Japan here in a few weeks. Last week, the British

1:29.5

pound fell 4% relative to the dollar in one day. King dollar is how financial times columnist

1:37.9

Kate Martin put it. As word preside, an economics professor at Cornell wrote, for the rest

1:44.3

of the world, it's a no win situation. The strong dollar is what he's referring to.

1:50.2

Patricia Cohen in the New York Times wrote in Nigeria and Somalia where the risk of starvation

1:56.4

already lurks. The strong dollar is pushing up the price of imported food, fuel and medicine.

2:03.0

The strong dollar is nudging debt-ridden Argentina, Egypt and Kenya closer to default and threatening

2:09.6

to discourage foreign investment in emerging markets like India and South Korea. What happened

2:15.9

such that US dollar is so dominant, so strong, which is four years ago in episode 215.

...

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