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Why higher productivity doesn't equal wage growth

Marketplace

Marketplace

News, Business

4.68.5K Ratings

🗓️ 2 February 2026

⏱️ 26 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Productivity — the rate at which companies make what they make, or do what they do — has been a reliably bright spot in this economy. But wage growth hasn’t kept up. In this episode, what’s hampering compensation growth while overall productivity rises at a clip? Plus: Is AI actually to blame for recent layoffs? Is rising global debt bad news? And, the partial government shutdown will delay crucial employment data.


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Transcript

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0:00.0

Remember what happened to economic data the last time the government shut down?

0:07.2

Yeah, that again.

0:10.2

From American public media, this is Marketplace.

0:19.0

In Los Angeles, I'm Kai Rizdal.

0:25.5

It is Monday. Today, this one is the second of February.

0:28.6

If you can believe that, it is good as always to have you along, everybody.

0:32.3

We're going to give you the bureaucratic language first.

0:35.3

Then we're going to do our best to tell you what it's going

0:37.8

to mean. Due to the partial federal government shutdown, read the email that Marketplaces

0:43.1

Carla Javier got from the Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning, the BLS will suspend data

0:48.5

collection, processing, and dissemination, end of quote. Sadly, for those of us whose job it is to know what is going on in this economy, especially

0:57.8

at this low, higher, low-fire moment, what's going on in the labor market, that means we are

1:03.3

not going to get the December job openings and labor turnover survey that was supposed to come

1:07.5

out tomorrow.

1:08.2

Jolts is what we call that.

1:09.9

And also probably we're not

1:12.1

going to get the biggie, the January unemployment report that was due on Friday. All of that said,

1:18.5

though, and on the theory that we're going to get the data eventually, Carla made some calls to

1:24.2

see what people are going to be looking for whenever.

1:31.7

Not only will these data show what's been going on in the job market recently,

1:36.0

they'll also update the understanding of the past year through a process called benchmark revisions, says Daniel Jow at the job site Glass Door.

1:40.0

We might get a very different picture of 2025 in hindsight where the job market was actually much slower than we originally thought, and thus much closer to stall speed.

...

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