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Why 2026 Could Bring a Bear Market | Markets Outlook

CoinDesk Podcast Network

CoinDesk

Tech News, Business News, Daily News, News

4.7698 Ratings

🗓️ 1 December 2025

⏱️ 22 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Markus Thielen, 10x Research, predicts an imminent crypto bear market and up to a 60% correction in 2026, Is the crypto bull run over? In this episode of Markets Outlook, Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, joins CoinDesk's Jennifer Sanasie, to discuss why we might be heading into a bear market in 2026. Thielen argues that US stocks historically perform poorly during midterm election cycles. Combining this historical trend with the "institutional fatigue" visible in recent ETF outflows, he breaks down the data suggesting a potential 60% correction is on the horizon. We also discuss the recent shift in "Whale" accumulation behavior and why the "digital gold" narrative is currently struggling to keep pace with physical gold performance. - Break the cycle of exploitation. Break down the barriers to truth. Break into the next generation of privacy. Break Free. Free to scroll without being monetized. Free from censorship. Freedom without fear. We deserve more when it comes to privacy. Experience the next generation of blockchain that is private and inclusive by design. Break free with Midnight, visit ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠midnight.network/break-free⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ - Need liquidity without selling your crypto? Take out a ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Figure Crypto-Backed Loan⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, allowing you to borrow against your BTC, ETH, or SOL with 12-month terms and no prepayment penalties. They have the lowest rates in the industry at 8.91%, allowing you to access instant cash or buy more Bitcoin without triggering a tax event. Unlock your crypto’s potential today at Figure! ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://figuremarkets.co/coindesk⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ - This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie.

Transcript

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0:00.0

I think there's a real possibility that we're entering a longer-term bear market, unfortunately.

0:06.3

And this is, you know, on the one side, of course, a four-year cycle that everybody starts to talk about.

0:12.1

But what we're seeing is actually U.S. stocks tend to perform quite poorly during midterm elections.

0:18.4

And of course, next year is a midterm election year.

0:33.6

Thank you. during midterm elections and of course next year is a midterm election year. Break the cycle of exploitation, break down the barriers to truth, break into the next generation of privacy, break free. Free to scroll without being monetized, free from censorship, freedom without fear. We deserve more when it comes to privacy.

0:40.3

Experience the next generation of blockchain that is private and inclusive by design. Break free with midnight, visit midnight.net.

0:46.5

Network forward slash break dash free. Looking for the best way to unlock your crypto's liquidity,

0:51.6

whether you're funding a major purchase like a down payment on a home, investing in new opportunities, or even buying more Bitcoin. Figger makes it straightforward and transparent. Take out our crypto-backed loan in the figure app today. Hey everyone, you're watching Markets Outlook. I'm Jen Sanassi. We are getting close to the end of the year, and we had to invite Marcus Teelen back. He's the founder of 10x research. And he's been a regular guest on our markets show this year. Marcus, here you are again. How are you doing as we head into 2026? Yeah, great to see you again. I'm doing fantastic. I think it's been a, you know, eventful year, up, down, up, down sideways. You know, I think a lot of stuff has happened. I think there's

1:29.0

always so much to say about crypto, you know, so many moving parts. So, you know, very excited to talk to you

1:34.1

here. Well, let's, let's reflect on 2025. We talk about up down, up down, sideways.

1:39.7

Talk to me about some of the major events that kind of defined 2025 for you. Yeah, of course,

1:44.6

it was the Trump inauguration, the Trump coin where all the exchanges nicely listed the

1:50.0

Trump coin really near the top, provided really massive exit liquidity. I think that had a massive

1:55.4

negative impact on the sentiment. And I think, you know, we came then into February where

2:00.5

Bitcoin was trading in this like descending wedge really. And, you know, we came then into February where Bitcoin was trading in

2:01.9

this like descending wedge, really. And, you know, we were turning, you know, barriced. I mean,

2:06.4

I had no idea, of course, how bad the tariff news was. But, you know, we were coming in quite

2:11.7

negative just from a technical level. And then we were breaking certain things. And of course,

2:16.2

we just sort of like ramped up again. So we caught this move then later as well.

2:20.3

But I think last time we spoke was kind of like mid-summer.

2:23.3

And what we noticed back then was of course a lot of the OG selling.

2:26.3

And of course, the last couple of two, three weeks basically, everybody talks about OG selling.

...

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