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🗓️ 25 August 2023
⏱️ 54 minutes
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0:00.0 | Hi, I'm Bill Crystal. Welcome back to Conversations. I'm very pleased to be joined again for the |
0:20.0 | third time this year, actually, by Whit Ayers, those first two conversations on the state of |
0:25.4 | the Republican Party and presidential, the presidential race in general, were so informative, |
0:30.0 | honestly, and I think stand up so well that it seemed important to do another one here on |
0:33.7 | what is it August 24th, which is the president of North Star opinion research, I think it's |
0:41.8 | called, right? Very well-regarded polling and strategy firm and himself been involved in |
0:47.3 | elections at every level, including presidential elections, debate crap, which is relevant, |
0:52.1 | last night's debate, and is widely considered one of our most thoughtful and far-seeing |
1:00.8 | analysts of current politics. Thanks for joining me again. Bill, great to be with you again. |
1:08.7 | So we're talking on, as I said, on August 24th, we spoke in November and you, |
1:14.8 | correctly, said, you know, you thought there was a chance that Trump would pay some price for |
1:19.2 | having been identified with elections in Iowa, which didn't do too well in November 22, |
1:24.2 | and that someone probably dissentist could make a bit of a run at him, which he did. |
1:28.4 | But then that faded. When we spoke last in mid July, |
1:33.1 | dissentist was fading. It was unclear how far he was going to fade. And Trump was at around 50% |
1:39.3 | in the polling, and I'd looked just now, and he's now around 52%. So not much has changed on |
1:44.5 | the Trump side. Dissentist has faded some. Ramaswami has shown up. But a lot has happened, |
1:50.8 | because we've had what the, the January, the DC indictment of, for January 6th, by Jack Smith, |
1:58.4 | the Georgia indictment, and then the debate last night. So I don't know. Maybe these things will |
2:06.0 | have some effect, or other things in the future will have some effect, but sort of striking |
2:10.0 | that for now. The race seems not that unlike when we spoke, but maybe that's itself a story. So let's |
2:15.7 | so explain what's what's what's let's begin with Trump. I guess the guy wasn't on stage last night, |
... |
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