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Politics Theory Other

Where do US-China relations go from here? w/ Jake Werner

Politics Theory Other

Politics Theory Other

News

4.8551 Ratings

🗓️ 29 April 2025

⏱️ 52 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Jake Werner on US-China relations in the context of the trade war. We discussed why Donald Trump has dialled down his rhetoric over tariffs, and why the term "decoupling" hardly captures the severity of what a breakdown of the economic relations between the US and China will look like. We also talked about the prospects of increased military tension, and whether we can expect the development of proxy wars between the two powers as the relationship between the US and China deteriorates further.

Transcript

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0:00.0

The sort of use of euphemisms is something that plagues all of our discussions about U.S.-China conflict.

0:06.0

We talk about competition, and what we're talking about is conflict and exclusion.

0:10.0

We talk about decoupling or derisking even as the sort of even more euphemistic version of that.

0:15.0

The kind of thing that Trump has embarked upon is overnight cutting these relations on which both economies depend.

0:22.4

It will be a violent and extraordinarily destabilizing process.

0:28.7

Hello and welcome to politics theory other.

0:31.6

My name is Alex Doherty and my guest today is Jake Werner.

0:34.9

We spoke about U.S.-China relations in the context of the trade war,

0:38.7

and with reference to Jake's recent article in the nation, titled, Could the US and China

0:43.2

conclude an agreement, halting the momentum toward conflict? We discussed why Donald Trump has

0:48.5

somewhat dialed down his rhetoric over tariffs, why the term decoupling hardly captures the

0:53.7

severity of what a breakdown of the

0:55.2

economic relations between the US and China will look like. And we also talked about the prospects

1:00.1

of increased military tension, whether we can expect the development of proxy wars between

1:04.5

the two powers as the relationship between the US and China deteriorates further.

1:09.9

Jake Werner is a historian of modern China and director of the East Asia program at the Quincy Institute for Responsible Stakecraft.

1:16.7

His writing has appeared in foreign policy, Boston Review, and the Made in China Journal amongst other venues.

1:23.3

If you would like to support politics theory other, you can do so by becoming a £5 per month

1:27.8

supporter on Patreon. As well as helping to keep the PTO show on the road, you'll get access

1:32.5

to bonus content like listeners questions episodes, including the recent one with Quinn Slobodeon.

1:38.0

Go to patreon.com forward slash poll theory other to sign up.

1:47.5

So, Jake, we're going to be talking about the trade war and US-China relations.

...

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