What The GOP Primary Looks Like In The Early States
FiveThirtyEight Politics
ABC News
4.6 • 20.6K Ratings
🗓️ 21 August 2023
⏱️ 41 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | This is a good game. I've always been saying like, I don't think I got this one right. But like, |
| 0:05.4 | I feel like I just, I generate so much like trivia in my brain for stuff that no one else will |
| 0:11.3 | ever ask me about. The remaining factoids I have about 2020 candidates who no one remembers |
| 0:17.4 | is filling up so much of my brain space. So I'm glad I get to like try to use it. |
| 0:21.6 | Katie, I am right there with you. |
| 0:32.0 | Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics podcast. I'm Galen Drute. Game time for the Republican |
| 0:37.5 | presidential primary begins in earnest this week. The first debate is being held in Milwaukee |
| 0:42.8 | on Wednesday and it marks the beginning of a five month countdown to the Iowa caucuses |
| 0:48.9 | during which there will be monthly debates, nonstop campaigning and a likely winnowing of the |
| 0:54.3 | field. As summer winds down and voters train more of their attention on the primary, |
| 0:59.6 | we'll also see whether any of the candidates are able to take former president Trump down a peg. |
| 1:05.4 | He currently leads our national polling average with 54% support. And at the time of this recording, |
| 1:11.6 | reporting has just come out suggesting that Trump is going to skip the debate in favor of an |
| 1:15.9 | interview with Tucker Carlson. As an aside, we're recording this on Friday because I'm going to be |
| 1:20.2 | running around Milwaukee on Monday. But in any case, while this may be when the nation begins to |
| 1:26.5 | tune in, folks in the early states have been tuning in either by choice or because of multi-million |
| 1:31.8 | dollar ad spending for months. And so today in preparation for the months ahead, we're going to |
| 1:37.4 | take in the view from the early states. And to do that, I've asked a few local reporters to join |
| 1:43.2 | me going in primary state order is Katie Aiken, political reporter at the Des Moines Register. |
| 1:47.9 | Welcome to the podcast. Hey, happy to be here. Next is Josh Rogers, senior political reporter |
| 1:53.3 | at New Hampshire Public Radio. Likewise, welcome, Josh. Thank you. And Joseph Boostos, |
| 1:58.2 | politics reporter at the state in Columbia, South Carolina. Welcome. Thanks for having me. |
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