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What Next TBD: The Polls Weren’t Wrong

Slate News

Slate Podcasts

News Commentary, Politics, News

4.56K Ratings

🗓️ 10 November 2024

⏱️ 28 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Many folks were surprised at how soundly Donald Trump defeated Kamala Harris in the election, especially since they thought the polls made it seem like a coin flip. The problem is, that’s not quite what the polls were saying. Guest: Tatishe M. Nteta, Provost Professor of Political Science, Director of UMass Poll Want more What Next TBD? Subscribe to Slate Plus to access ad-free listening to the whole What Next family and all your favorite Slate podcasts. Subscribe today on Apple Podcasts by clicking “Try Free” at the top of our show page. Sign up now at slate.com/whatnextplus to get access wherever you listen. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Ancestry is marking Remembrance with free access to global military records until Wednesday.

0:06.0

Uncover your family stories of courage and resilience.

0:10.0

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0:16.0

No payment details needed for unlimited free searches of our vast collection of global military records.

0:23.3

This remembrance honor their memory with ancestry. Free Access ends 13th of November.

0:34.7

On Tuesday night, Titish Neteta realized the election was breaking for Trump, when Georgia and North Carolina began reporting results.

0:43.1

It sort of began to coalesce that he could win those two states, which were likely necessary for the Harris campaign, if she had lost any one of the three blue wall

0:56.9

states.

0:58.4

Tatis is the director of the UMass poll and a political science professor at UMass Amherst.

1:04.1

After looking at those early numbers, he began listening to what Democratic surrogates were saying

1:09.1

on TV. To an expert like Tatish, it was a clear

1:12.5

message. You saw a number of Democratic strategists on MSNBC or CNN talking about their, you know,

1:22.8

confidence that they could still win the election and that it's going to come down to these three Midwestern

1:29.3

states.

1:30.3

Robert Costa's reporting.

1:31.3

The General O'Malley Dillon has now sent out a memo.

1:33.3

She's the campaign manager for the Vice President Harris and says they still believe that the

1:38.3

blue wall is the ultimate way to win.

1:41.3

Once I started hearing that, I thought this might be done.

1:47.7

At the end of the day, Trump didn't just win.

1:51.3

He took most of the swing states.

1:53.5

He won the popular vote.

...

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