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The Run-Up

What Democrats Think Went Wrong

The Run-Up

The New York Times

News Commentary, Politics, News

4.42K Ratings

🗓️ 21 November 2024

⏱️ 49 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

A year ago, Astead took “The Run-Up” listeners home for Thanksgiving. Specifically, he convened a focus group of family and friends to talk about the election and the question of Black people’s changing relationship to the Democratic Party. This year, he got the group back together for a different mission. The question was: What happened? What can Democrats learn from their defeat in 2024? On today’s show: an autopsy conducted not by consultants or elected officials but by committed, everyday Democratic voters. And a farewell.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Two years ago, as we set out to cover the long run-up to this election and the prospect of Donald Trump's third run for the White House, we actually started with an autopsy from 2013, and the set of political assumptions that led to Donald Trump's first win.

0:23.3

Back then, President Barack Obama and Vice President Joe Biden

0:27.8

had just been overwhelmingly re-elected.

0:30.8

The Republican Party was in disarray,

0:33.4

and the Republican National Committee had ordered a kind of investigation,

0:40.3

an autopsy, into what had happened.

0:47.3

And what you can see in the conclusions are the political assumptions at that time.

0:51.3

Mainly, this idea of demographic destiny. The belief that the country's increased racial diversity

0:55.4

was transforming the political landscape.

0:58.6

That diversity, both parties thought,

1:01.6

would largely benefit Democrats.

1:04.5

And to survive, the Republicans concluded

1:07.1

they would need to become more racially inclusive

1:10.1

and less anti-immigration.

1:12.6

Of course, what we know now was that this was only half-right.

1:18.6

America's increased diversity has transformed a political landscape,

1:23.2

just not in the way people expected.

1:26.6

Now, it's Democrats, not Republicans, who are the ones in disarray,

1:32.2

and have been left reeling by the emergence of an increasingly multiracial coalition,

1:36.9

which rejected the argument that Trump was a threat to the country,

1:41.1

and chose to elect him again.

1:50.0

Already, the unexpected result has inspired Democrats to conduct an autopsy of their own, with elected officials, activists, pollsters, and donors, all weighing in.

...

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