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Welcome to NFL Daily, where sometimes our computer model breaks our heart.

I'm Greg Rosenthal here in the Chris Wesleying podcast studio with my friend Cynthia Freeland.

Do you get what I'm getting at here?

Yes, I know exactly what you're getting at.

Right off the bat.

I've looked at your computer model for the week.

This is the show every week where we make three picks against the spread.

I hope it's not one of your three picks against the spread. I hope it's not one of your three

picks against the spread. It's not. But you do pick every game. The model picks every game against the

spread. That's right. And I saw that your model not only takes the Buffalo Bills to cover against

your Detroit Lions, you have the bills winning outright in the game of the year. Yeah. I don't really have a lot to say about that other than I hate it. I hate myself. It makes me crazy. I mean, I guess on some level, then I don't lose in this game, but I also don't win. You know what I'm saying? No, you win if the lions win. I win if the lions win no matter what. Knowing you, you don't really care that your model gets wrong.

To be fair, when I look at it, like, I pick it and it's based on a whole bunch of stats.

And sometimes I'm like, what on earth is what happens?

This is kind of the nightmare with AI.

The computers have taken over. They are, they are

sentient. The fact that they're picking the bills over the lines. Actually, what are the kind of the

underlying reasons? Because I am quite surprised by that, that on the road, your model looking at all

the numbers has the bills as a better team. Because by a lot of numbers, the lions are one of the best teams we've ever seen. So this is not going to be either one of our three picks, but it is such a fascinating game. I am curious, like, are there any specific underlying reasons why you have the bills winning? Well, number one, and first and foremost, the injury report for the Lions defense. I mean, when you have the 2019 Pro Bowl team playing linebacker, things get a little dicey when you're facing Josh Allen. Yeah, that's the first reason. And even if they get some of their defensive linemen back, that's still a bad part of the defense to be banged up in. And those are guys, I mean, Alex Anzolone is not coming through that door. Linebackers will not be healthy this week. So that's a good point. We know that. And I don't know about as we sit here right now, we don't have a confirmation that other guys like Zach Pascal, who else were talking about, Aline McNeil, we don't know. Levi-owned was Zerike. I think we don't think he's on Zerike's playing, right? And then is Taylor Decker going to be back? Looks like it. Full practice. Yes. As a Lions fan, all the crossies. Okay. So the linebacker position is a big one. But the reality is, is the things that the Lions like to do, Josh Allen is really great at. The lions pay a lot of man. Guess what Josh Allen does to men. 18 touchdowns, three interceptions. The lions don't get a lot of pressure. Well, you could argue that the bills could be tired based on the track meet they played with the Rams last week. They were in hurry up, basically all of the second half.

That's a lot of snaps. I mean, they did only play 54 total snaps. That's about normal for them. But they were all hurry up snaps. That's wild. However, the lines aren't bringing a lot of pressure. They're still having their leading sack guy be Aidan Hutchinson, who hasn't played in like a bajillion weeks. So the fact is that's the areas where things kind of deplete

if you're talking about fatigue.

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