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The Dividend Cafe

Wednesday - September 10, 2025

The Dividend Cafe

The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group

Retirement Planning, Wealth Management, Investing, Business, Dividend Growth Investing, Estate Planning, Monetary Policy, Macro Economics

4.9572 Ratings

🗓️ 10 September 2025

⏱️ 7 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Market Volatility and Inflation Insights: A Mid-Week Market Recap

In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel reports from West Palm Beach, Florida, with a mid-week market update recorded on Wednesday, September 10. The recap highlights mixed performance across markets as a result of the latest Producer Price Index (PPI) numbers, which showed a surprising decline of 0.1% against the expected 0.3% increase. The DOW fell by 0.5%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq registered minor gains and flat performance, respectively. The segment also delves into the significant decrease in year-over-year inflation rates and previews upcoming key economic data, including the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and initial jobless claims. Additionally, the script addresses concerns regarding high market valuations and the prudent approach to market exposure. Brian also references historical market behavior to caution against rash decisions based on short-term indicators.

00:00 Introduction and Market Overview

00:56 Producer Price Index and Market Reactions

02:13 Upcoming Economic Indicators

02:25 Labor Market Insights

03:07 Valuations and Market Strategies

05:52 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com

TheBahnsenGroup.com

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to the Dividing Cafe weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio and dividends in your understanding of economic life.

0:12.3

Good evening and welcome into Dividend Cafe this Wednesday, September the 10th.

0:16.8

Brian Sightel is with you here from our West Palm Beach, Florida office on a mix of day overall in markets.

0:22.4

We had some volatility, mostly around a producer price index number that we got, where equities closed off of the lows.

0:29.0

The Dow is down about a half of a percent, which is 220 points.

0:32.9

S&P was up about a third of a percent.

0:36.4

NASDAQ was basically flat. It was up six points. Ten year was down

0:41.1

about four basis points, a little less. We closed it about 404 on tens. We had a pretty good

0:47.6

10-year auction was up a little bit. Cryptocurrencies were down a bit. So just a mix bag

0:53.0

across the board. And again, a lot of this

0:55.2

was around this producer price index. So let's walk this through a little bit. What we were expecting,

1:00.0

and this is the inflation read on the wholesale inventory on the producer side before products

1:04.3

are finalized and get sold to consumers. But for August, headline and core were the same number.

1:09.3

So you had an expectation for a 0.3% gain on

1:13.0

headline that would have put year over year somewhere near 3.1. And what you end up getting

1:17.6

on both headline and core was a loss actually of 0.1. So it's a pretty big move lower on this

1:25.9

indicator for inflation on the wholesale level. Two-tenths

1:28.7

of a percent is decent. That puts year-over-year numbers for headline at now 2.6, and it puts

1:34.9

a year-over-year number on core at 2.8. So we're into the twos now, and I know this was a number

1:40.9

that was much lower than expected. And so you got some volatility this

1:44.7

morning around it. Equities were a little higher, although there was some geopolitical turmoil

1:48.9

overnight. And so that was a little muted. And then fixed income rallied and they had rates drop a

...

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