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The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff

Wednesday October 18th, 2022 - NFL Odds, Picks and Analysis

The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff

Adam Chernoff

Football, Sports

4.81.3K Ratings

🗓️ 19 October 2022

⏱️ 17 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Good morning everyone the simple handicap for Wednesday October 19th. Thank you for making me a part of your morning sound quality not as good as it usually is with the laptop recording today and not the studio microphone back at home.

0:15.0

I am at circus boards in Las Vegas a busy morning this morning an hour.

0:20.0

Yeah you heard that right one hour in studio with Mitch and Polly on these and I don't know what we're going to get into I hope I get to do the dog video segment but I know there's going to be a lot of betting talk obviously too so if you're watching or you're listening to this before you get to work and you want something to pass an hour or you want to get the podcast on the way home you'll be able to find that longest I've ever been in studio by far.

0:42.0

Hopefully I'll be able to keep it on the tracks and then chasing that down with a eight o'clock T time for a 7,600 yard golf course with a near touring pro where I am about a 24 and a half stroke underdog so it is going to be a busy morning but here to meet a couple folks and then it's travel some more for me best friends getting married on Saturday.

1:06.0

Have to go from Las Vegas to Saskatoon a route that very few if ever have made the trip traveling so it's going to be a very fun week with that the show will continue there may be some shorter episodes and some and if I ever feel like there is a day where the quality is not sufficient for taking up any of your time in the morning I'm going to pass on an episode just it's a crazy week for me all around with the job switch and wedding and everything else happening so bear with me will keep it as good as we can.

1:36.0

As long as we can and again if there's a day where it's just it's not right and I'm not into it then I'm not going to take up any of your time in the morning only want to get something here on the podcast feed if it is worthwhile of your time something that is debatable to be worthwhile of your time kicks off tomorrow begins week seven the New Orleans Saints on the road at the Arizona Cardinals I've tried to make sense of this game all week and to me the under from 46 down to 44 and a half that makes sense as a move because both of these teams.

2:04.0

Either without offensive weapons in the case of the Saints or trying to integrate new weapons into a failing system in the case of the Arizona Cardinals from a number perspective.

2:16.0

This is very close to now being the right price where we are with the Cardinals is one point favorite tough to make a justification either way I wouldn't be shocked to see there be interest in the Saints

2:29.0

because of what we've seen them do without a lot of these missing pieces the last couple of weeks but it's tough to find a lot to go off here what we know.

2:37.0

Landry and Thomas very unlikely to be on the field Olave will be how much this him is a rookie now being forced into the number one role change the Saints offense.

2:47.0

I don't think a whole lot but we will see it's certainly an upgrade from who they had on the field a week ago.

2:53.0

If you can even call it that from the Cardinals perspective what is Robbie Anderson on a short week being put into a system with the Andre Hopkins coming back Kyler Murray struggling in an old line now missing two starters it's a tough situation all the way around a very tough Thursday night game to find value one way or the other somewhere

3:14.0

where I do think there is growing value the Detroit lines on the road at the Dallas Cowboys as the week goes on Dallas to me becomes that much more tempting of a side not just in teaser legs but also straight up back press got will be back on the field.

3:29.0

This is going to be the Cowboys offense depending what you make his thumb grip strength is the issue but it's going to be as healthy as we can see the Cowboys offense.

3:38.0

And as much as we've liked the lines offensive line and how decently it has performed the one spot where the Cowboys have been very very good is generating pressure and if you want to go ahead and back Jared Goff on the road under pressure.

3:53.0

You guys know I love that angle and opposing it out here you go because you're going to get all of that and then some with the lines and I'm not putting any stock into that by week.

4:02.0

Where Dan Campbell had the guys intentionally not watching film and doing other things with psychiatrists it's just a weird feeling around the lines right now and the team I want no part of Cowboys on the other hand might be undervalued with the press got return at this number giants on the road at the Jags there was a bet on the Jags on Sunday night Monday morning from two professionals drove this up to three we're still sitting there this morning 42 and a half is the number across the board something I'd say from the Giants perspective I'll be curious.

4:31.0

To see if we get some more skill guys back for the Giants this week injuries have been sort of a lingering concern I think they're going to be a very popular side over all this week.

4:43.0

Even more so if they get some of those guys back so it's an interesting game we might have a bigger take on tomorrow or Friday morning Colts on the road at the Titans.

4:52.0

You're going to have to explain this one to me I've said it a couple times Tennessee a two and a half point favorite this morning there were some three showing those are now all gone I agree with that don't know how we're still sitting at this point have to think there's going to be tight near Colts money coming in don't know who's running to back the Titans from a perspective of influence at this point especially coming off of what we saw the Colts do.

5:16.0

But obviously a ton of injury concerns at running back three levels deep to watch for the Colts that'll be a big injury report today tailors obviously going to have an impact but with that high ankle sprain how effective is he going to be even if he is able to go and be on the field Atlanta on the road at the Cincinnati Bengals Cincinnati sitting as a six point favorite.

5:38.0

Interesting handicapped on this one from the perspective of the Bengals are a team this season that have struggled mightily when they're facing a defense that sits in too deep coverage that's that too deep shell safety look that has been giving them more trouble than any team we have seen having to deal with that.

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