Wednesday October 12th, 2022 - NFL Odds, Picks and Analysis
The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff
Adam Chernoff
4.8 • 1.3K Ratings
🗓️ 12 October 2022
⏱️ 13 minutes
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Summary
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Good morning, everyone, the simple handicap for Wednesday, October 12. |
| 0:05.7 | Thank you for making me a part of your morning inching ever closer to NFL week number six, |
| 0:11.2 | which kicks off tomorrow with the Washington commanders on the road at the Chicago Bears. |
| 0:15.8 | And as has been the story, the entire week, the total continues to inch down 37 and a half this morning at |
| 0:23.9 | Fandul saying the same thing at Chris as well as bet online under money attached to well two things |
| 0:30.8 | first and foremost the weather when you're looking at the weather for a soldier field |
| 0:35.4 | not looking as daunting as it was earlier in the week, |
| 0:40.4 | but I think enough where you're seeing betters look at this system of wind, start to drift |
| 0:47.7 | a little bit later in the afternoon. If you listen to the first episode, Sunday night, |
| 0:51.9 | Monday morning, you know that it was kind of fading around 2 p.m. |
| 0:55.7 | was the time that that was cutting off. Well, now it's stretching a little bit further to 4 p.m. |
| 0:59.8 | So there's this system around Soldier Field that has a lot of wind with it. We're looking at 30 |
| 1:05.0 | kilometers an hour. I'm sorry to put all of you in the U.S. on the spot, but that is right |
| 1:09.6 | around the key mark of 20 miles per hour. |
| 1:12.4 | Where this gets interesting is historically in the NFL, the 20 mile per hour mark for wind |
| 1:18.8 | is where you see a big detrimental impact to passing games did around the field. |
| 1:25.3 | This total is at 37 and a half. In the last 10 years of the NFL, games did |
| 1:30.9 | kick off with wind speeds of 20 miles per hour, average a true point scored in those games of 37 points. |
| 1:40.1 | Now, the difference here is that usually the total, which is the posted total at sportsbooks, |
| 1:47.0 | ends up closing right around 40 points. |
| 1:50.4 | Because scoring in the NFL is so much lower this year, and because both of these offenses have been so horrendous, |
| 1:58.2 | we're actually looking at one of the few cases that I can remember in the last |
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