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The Dividend Cafe

Wednesday - November 12, 2025

The Dividend Cafe

The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group

Dividend Growth Investing, Retirement Planning, Macro Economics, Investing, Estate Planning, Wealth Management, Monetary Policy, Business

4.9572 Ratings

🗓️ 12 November 2025

⏱️ 7 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Daily Market Recap: November 12 - Tech to Value Rotation Continues

In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel provides a daily market recap for Wednesday, November 12. He discusses the recent trends in the stock market, noting a continued rotation from tech and AI growth stocks to more value-oriented sectors. The DOW experienced its third consecutive day of gains, while the S&P also slightly increased, and the Nasdaq declined. Brian highlights the outperformance of the equal-weighted S&P over the market cap-weighted version. He also compares the performance of the 20-year Treasury ETF (TLT) with Bitcoin since the previous year. Additionally, Sitel touches on the likelihood of upcoming interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, with some officials advocating for a 50 basis point cut. He concludes by addressing the minimal market impact of the recent government shutdown and answering viewer questions regarding its potential effects on various sectors.

00:00 Introduction and Market Recap

00:27 Sector Performance and Investment Strategies

02:13 Economic Data and Government Updates

03:16 Federal Reserve Insights

04:36 Impact of Government Shutdown

05:53 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com

TheBahnsenGroup.com

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome to the Dividing Cafe weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio and dividends in your understanding of economic life.

0:10.0

Welcome back into Dividend Cafe this afternoon of Wednesday, November the 12th. Brian Saitel is with you here.

0:19.0

To give you an update on our daily market recap, we've got kind of a third day in a row.

0:25.3

Actually, I would say today is much like yesterday.

0:27.9

Monday was the big update, but you basically have a three for three on the Dow, three updates.

0:32.4

So today, Dow is at 326 points.

0:35.2

S&P was up a little bit, four points, NASDAQ was down again. So this continued

0:39.8

rotation from tech AI growth into more value-oriented parts of the market continues on. The

0:47.1

equal weight S&P has outperformed the market cap weighted S&P now, five days out of six. So it's a decent amount of shift here

0:55.9

as we're getting into this sort of holiday season and into the year end after such a big

1:01.1

run-up in some of those other sectors. Case and point, in the comment in there, there's a chart of it,

1:06.1

which is, I think, unlikely to most is just the fact that TLT, which is the 20-year Treasury Exchange Traded Fund,

1:13.5

is outperforming the Bitcoin ETF or Bitcoin spot price on the year.

1:18.8

So for all of the fun and volatility and attraction to this literally shiny object, this Bitcoin thing year-to-date,

1:26.7

and actually take it back,

1:27.9

that was since Trump's election, which is actually a little bit more than year to date. So we're

1:32.1

going back since about a year ago. But nonetheless, the point is just those volatile things can be

1:36.5

volatile. And so what ends up happening when you get these runups in growth is just like it happened

1:40.9

in the late 90s. You were basically an idiot to not own most or all of your

1:45.2

portfolio technology back then. Everybody did. Nobody owned defensives and nobody owned financials

1:50.2

or energy companies or staples. And then you had 15 years where the exact opposite happened. And

1:55.8

it's hard to say that that will happen again the same way. But our point is just be aware of it.

...

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