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The Ezra Klein Show

We Know So Little About What Makes Humanity Prosper

The Ezra Klein Show

New York Times Opinion

Society & Culture, Government, News

4.611K Ratings

🗓️ 27 September 2022

⏱️ 91 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Why do some countries produce far more science Nobel laureates than others? Why did Silicon Valley happen in California rather than Japan or Boston? Why did the Industrial Revolution happen when it did and where it did? These are just some of the questions that have inspired the formation of a new intellectual movement called “progress studies.” The basic idea is this: For hundreds of thousands of years, human history played out without any rapid, marked advance in material living standards. And then, suddenly, in just the past few hundred years, everything changed: Humanity achieved a truly mind-boggling amount of progress in the evolutionary blink of an eye. In the early 21st century, we are all living in the world that progress bequeathed. And yet we understand shockingly little about what drives that progress in the first place. That’s important because, at least according to some metrics, progress seems to be slowing down. We spend far more on scientific research but that research results in fewer breakthrough discoveries. Key economic indicators such as productivity growth have slowed. Many have argued that the technologies we’ve invented in recent decades, while highly impressive, aren’t as transformative as the technologies from the last century. All of which means that the questions animating progress studies aren’t mere academic exercises; they are central to understanding how we can bring about a better future for all. Patrick Collison is the co-founder and chief executive of the multibillion-dollar payments company Stripe. But for years now, Collison has also been developing and advocating a worldview that has become the intellectual backbone of this new discipline. In 2019, Collison, alongside the economist Tyler Cowen, called for “a new science of progress.” And since then, an intellectual ecosystem has sprung up around it, full of its own magazines and thinkers and syllabuses and podcasts. And Collison himself is putting its theories into practice through organizations (like Fast Grants and Arc Institute) that he’s founded and funded. This conversation is an attempt to better understand Collison’s worldview, and more broadly the worldview of progress studies. The ideas that animate progress studies are worth taking seriously on their own terms. But they are also important because they are becoming increasingly influential among a wealthy elite with the power and resources to shape all of our futures. Mentioned: “Science Is Getting Less Bang for Its Buck” by Patrick Collison and Michael Nielsen A Culture of Growth by Joel Mokyr "Kludgeocracy in America" by Steve Teles Book Recommendations: Empire and Revolution by Richard Bourke Scene of Change by Warren Weaver A Widening Sphere by Philip N. Alexander Thoughts? Guest suggestions? Email us at [email protected]. You can find transcripts (posted midday) and more episodes of “The Ezra Klein Show” at nytimes.com/ezra-klein-podcast, and you can find Ezra on Twitter @ezraklein. Book recommendations from all our guests are listed at https://www.nytimes.com/article/ezra-klein-show-book-recs. “The Ezra Klein Show” is produced by Annie Galvin and Rogé Karma. Fact-checking by Michelle Harris, Mary Marge Locker and Kate Sinclair. Original music by Isaac Jones. Mixing by Sonia Herrero, Isaac Jones and Carole Sabouraud. Audience strategy by Shannon Busta. Special thanks to Kristin Lin and Kristina Samulewski.

Transcript

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0:00.0

I'm Ezra Klein. This is the Ezra Conchell.

0:23.0

This is a great conversation today, but it's a tricky one to introduce because the guests

0:29.0

I have, I'm not having him on for the thing he's best known for. So Patrick Collison, by

0:34.8

day co-founder and CEO of the multi-billion dollar payments company Stripe. By night, by weekend,

0:40.9

I think one of the most important thinkers in Silicon Valley, certainly one of the most

0:45.6

quietly influential. Someone who is forging and traversing an intellectual path that a lot of

0:51.9

other people are now following. And it's this second incarnation and role that I'm really

0:57.1

interviewing him in today. The soft power side, I guess, of Patrick Collison.

1:03.2

Collison's work here centers around this question of progress. The argument is that human progress

1:09.1

is much more precious and rare and fragile than we realize. We maybe take it for granted.

1:13.6

We live in this time when things have been changing. A top decades and decades, even centuries

1:18.6

and centuries, even millennia now, when things have kept changing. But for most of human history,

1:24.0

that was not true. It was not true. There just was no market, rapid advance in human living standards.

1:30.8

It's only in the past 10,000 years and then particularly in the past few hundred. Just an

1:35.9

eye-blink in the time human beings have been on earth that things kept changing usually for the better.

1:42.5

And the question is why? And Collison's particular meta-question is given the clear fragility

1:49.6

of forward motion here, given how rare it has proven to be. And so how easy it might be to lose,

1:55.7

why isn't the question of the conditions of progress more central? Why isn't the study of progress

2:03.0

in a wide multidisciplinary way, a more common and central discipline? Collison has written a

2:10.4

few influential essays here with economist Tyler Cowan. He called for the inauguration of a

2:14.5

discipline they called progress studies and that now has people studying it, there's people creating

2:19.5

journals for it, creating syllabi and podcasts and books around the topic. It's one of the more

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