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Welcome to the Guardian Long Read, showcasing the best long-form journalism covering culture,

politics and new thinking. For the text version of this and all our long reads,

go to thegardian.com-forward-slash-long-read.

Was it inevitable? A short history of Russia's war on Ukraine.

To understand the tragedy of this war, it is worth going back beyond the last few weeks and months,

and even beyond Vladimir Putin. By Keith Gessen, read by Andrew McGregor and produced by Tony

Onochuku. For three months, everyone argued about whether there would be a war, whether

Vladimir Putin was bluffing or serious. Some of the Russia experts who had long told people to take it

easy were now telling people to get worried. Others who had long criticised Putin said that he was

just trying to draw attention to himself, that it was all for show. Among the analysts, there was a

debate between the troop watches and the TV watches. The troop watches saw the massive concentration

of Russian forces at the border and in Crimea and warned of invasion. The TV watches said that

...