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Forbes Daily Briefing

VCs Are Throwing Money At Recent College Grads To Build Prediction Markets

Forbes Daily Briefing

Forbes

Business, Tech News, News

4.418 Ratings

🗓️ 20 February 2026

⏱️ 5 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

After attracting $3.7 billion in new capital and minting young billionaires at Polymarket and Kalshi, prediction market startups are all the rage, especially for recent college graduates.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Here is your Forbes daily briefing for Friday, February 20th. Today on Forbes, VCs are throwing

0:08.4

money at recent college grads to build prediction markets. When venture capitalist Mark Goldberg

0:15.3

looks at the year ahead, he's certain of one thing. Prediction markets will be one of his main areas of investment.

0:23.3

Goldberg, co-founder and managing partner of San Francisco's chemistry, says, quote,

0:28.9

prediction markets are moving so quickly into the mainstream in a way where I think the amount of

0:33.5

money being traded is going to go 100x in the next five years.

0:39.0

Goldberg is not alone.

0:41.2

Caitlin Pintivorn, partner at Cryptofocused venture firm Paradigm, says, quote,

0:47.0

over the last year, it's probably been one of the most popular areas for the places

0:51.2

that we see new founders gravitate towards.

0:57.1

In 2025, prediction markets exploded with millions of users wagering more than $40 billion on the two leading platforms,

1:03.1

Kalshi and Polymarket. That momentum has only grown in the new year, as traders wagered more

1:09.3

than $10 billion across the two sites in January alone,

1:13.7

including a staggering $550 million on the winners of Super Bowl 60.

1:19.1

Neither platform is profitable yet, but recent infusions of equity capital from investors

1:24.4

ranging from Sequoia Capital to New York Stock Exchange parent

1:28.3

Intercontinental Exchange have valued Kalshi at $11 billion and Polly Market at $9 billion.

1:36.0

New funding rounds in 2025, totaling $3.7 billion, have turned Polly Market's 27-year-old founder

1:44.0

Shane Coplin and both of Kalshie's 29-year-old

1:47.3

co-founders into billionaires. Even more promising for the budding industry is support from the Trump

1:53.5

administration. Both Kalshi and Polymarket count Donald Trump Jr. as an investor.

2:00.4

Given the strong regulatory tailwinds and investor enthusiasm,

...

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