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The John Batchelor Show

#Ukraine: Moscow POV: Long War, no talks. Professor H.J. Mackinder, International Relations. #FriendsofHistoryDebatingSociety

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

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4.52.8K Ratings

🗓️ 11 December 2022

⏱️ 14 minutes

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#Ukraine: Moscow POV: Long War, no talks. Professor H.J. Mackinder, International Relations. #FriendsofHistoryDebatingSociety

https://www.ft.com/content/6b9ee501-ce75-4f2a-adeb-c30ccf0093e3

Transcript

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0:00.0

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0:19.0

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0:24.0

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0:30.0

This is the Friends of History Debating Society. I'm John Batser with Professor H.J. McHenter International Relations.

0:36.0

Five capitals during Ukraine conflict. We go immediately to Moscow, the headline.

0:41.0

Vladimir Putin threatens to cut all output after G7 price cap. Russian leader vows not to sell crude to countries implementing the ceiling.

0:51.0

Elsewhere, Adam meeting with reporters in Kyrgyzstan. Mr. Putin labeled what the EU was decided as stupid for everyone.

1:00.0

Professor, a very good evening to you. Vladimir Putin says the oil price cap, which is lowered oil price around the world, and right now is reported effective.

1:10.0

He says that it's stupid. So, the point of view of Moscow this week is either a tantrum or condescending. Good evening to you.

1:20.0

Good evening, sir. Well, the first point, I think, is that we're 290 days into this war.

1:29.0

The news that you've just given about the oil, the whole business with the oil price, is an aspect of our original strategy,

1:40.0

which was that we were going to somehow beat the Russians economically without having to use weapons. But I started thinking about wars, and by day 290 in, say, World War 1,

1:55.0

you're starting to have a vague idea for your going. If you think about it just briefly, by day 290 of World War 1, you've had some Russian campaigns,

2:09.0

but you haven't had the Brazil offensive that comes in the following year. You've had one and two, EEPRA, you've had Gallipoli, but really the Europeans, all of them are still trying to figure out what's going on, and that's what we're doing too, and the Russians are.

2:29.0

Now, Putin is an intelligent man, and I think his comment about the oil price is something we should take aboard. Let's look at the situation militarily, and then try to go to the diplomatic implications of that.

2:47.0

The week's pretty much been dominated by news of a settlement called Bockelot, which is an entrenched position, east of Donbass, or north of East of Donbass, which has been under absolutely furious attack by Russia.

3:06.0

Absolutely furious. Hundreds and hundreds and hundreds of casualties a day in the Ukrainians being pounded by artillery and missiles in a way that is novel. Now, the Ukrainians previously have been able to use things like their 155 millimeter howitzers and their high mars and what not to get behind the Russians.

3:35.0

To their staging areas and their munition dumps and so forth, blow those up, and therefore, novel a would be Russian offensive before it can get off the ground.

3:48.0

But in our infinite wisdom, we've decided that the Ukrainians should not be allowed to hit anything inside Russia, or Belarus. So the Russians are moving their staging areas to the battle of Bockelot. They're all straight north, and it's a very, very easy run as things go in this part of the world.

4:11.0

And the Pentagon decided in the last 24 hours that we've got to let the Ukrainians hit these staging areas and munitions dumps. Otherwise, things are going to go very badly.

4:28.0

So I suspect that with that restriction listed that we're going to have an end or a great reduction in the Russian human wave attacks.

...

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