I'm John Bachelor with Anatole Leiben of the Quincy Institute for Responsible State Craft.

I have talking points from Russian Mill blogger, which I've read over and they all seemed extremely

challenging.

So there's nothing about this that isn't fog of war.

It's all speculation, but that's where we are. The front line in Ukraine

appears to be frozen and I read that is a purposeful plan of the

Moscow war planners. They're buying time for a build-up.

We've been concentrating on conscription but their industries have switched to

full war economy. Everything for the front was the phrase from the second war. They don't have

enough manpower right now. They're drafting from all parts of the former Soviet Empire.

They're inviting people in from everywhere in Eurasia to work in their

defense plants they're turning out tanks artillery the big stuff for a conflict

with well there in lies the question and at all let's work with the idea

that there is a proposal that Moscow will talk about and I read from this mill blogger

the requirement that the entire left bank as well as Odessa

and Nikolayev be transferred to Russia.

That means that Novaricea would extend through the Odessa Oblast and put Russia right at the edge of

Romania which is a NATO member and that what is left of Ukraine goes this mill blogger would turn into a low intensity war,

what he calls terrorism, or names it as terrorism.

Does that sound like an immediate future is possible

that Russia would take Novaricea

and then weather through the resistance that the Rump or Ukraine would offer indefinitely

...