This is the Friends of History Debating Society. I'm John Bachelord, Professor H. Schaimachender.

Commenting on six capital six points of view. Again, during these last days, not only did Secretary Blinken speak in Delhi during the G20 Ministers meeting, to Mr. Lefrah, when he was in Kazakhstan earlier.

He took that occasion to restate something he said before, warning China not to send lethal aid to Russia.

This comes in the same time frame that Lukashenko, who is a subordinate to Moscow, leading Belarus, was in Beijing shaking hands and talking about common cause with she.

And we know that she has a scheduled state visit to Moscow. So Beijing's point of view is not only foreign policy, however, with that it was as she would be happy with that.

It's also the changing of the guard because the economy is in tatters. There are many decisions to be made ahead about how the economy can revive itself with the unemployment, with the lack of orders, with the inflation, with people not being paid in the Pearl River basin.

And also doubts about she's leadership in general. So, Professor, does she have the time, does the apparatus in China have the time to get involved in Ukraine?

It's being more not to, does it believe that that is useful advice?

Well, this is a very, very important question. There is a saying that some Chinese views analyzing their own country, which is that foreign policy is simply domestic policy sort of exported.

So, if we want to understand what she is doing, like Putin, he's most concerned with his own survival. Having said that, she is sentimentally in favor of Russia.

And his reorganization that he's making of the Chinese bureaucratic party system is by far the biggest thing we've seen since Mao died in November 1976.

And it is entirely devoted to making China into a fully socialist in the Maoist sense or in the early Soviet sense, a fully socialist communist country.

Now, many Chinese in the leadership group understand that the only way that China can escape from the absolutely catastrophic economic situation, which she finds herself, is to patch up with the West, rejoin the world economy.

Whether she understands enough economics to realize this is doubtful. He has an aversion to the United States and to the West, and the propaganda in China is much more anti-American than it's been for quite a while.

And that's really saying something. It's not as if you used to open the global times and find a puff piece about how marvelous it was to visit the Grand Canyon or something. They are just pounding away at us all the time.

Now, she envisions an alliance with Russia, but what China has really been seeking in a kind of half-hearted way is the rapprochement with the United States in which we give them the money that they want, but we don't expect anything in return, which is pretty much what our China policy was until about 10 years ago, I guess.

And therefore, there have been reports that we have actually intercepted lethal weapons on their way from China to Russia.

And China has a China's arms industry. Their factories, producing weapons are bigger than all of the arms industry of the rest of the world combined.

They have a huge capacity of manufacture weapons. And if they started shipping all of these houses and things that they have into Russia, that might help Russia.

But I don't think in the end that this is doable because I believe that the reaction of the rest of the world would be a really devastating what they're talking about.

Disconnection of China from the world economy. And that's already happening if they start supplying weapons, it's going to get much worse.

And they do not have sufficient domestic demand in China. It's only about 40% of their GMP is accounted for by domestic demand, whereas here, you know, be 70% or England to be 70, 60, something like that.

...