4.4 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 7 July 2020
⏱️ 14 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | This is Exhings at Goldman Sachs where we discuss developments currently shaping markets, industries in industries, and the global economy. |
| 0:13.9 | I'm Jake Seward, global head of corporate communications |
| 0:16.1 | here at the firm. |
| 0:17.4 | And today, I'm joined by Zach Pandel, |
| 0:19.4 | co-head of the global foreign exchange interest rates and emerging markets strategy in |
| 0:25.6 | Goldman Sachs research. |
| 0:26.9 | Zach and his team have a new report out called Revenge of the two dollars and today |
| 0:31.4 | will bear his views on the strength of the US dollar compared |
| 0:34.4 | to some foreign currencies. Zach, welcome to the program. Thanks, Jake. So let's set the stage, talk about where the dollar was |
| 0:40.8 | compared to other foreign currencies as we came into the year 2020. |
| 0:45.1 | So the dollar started this year on very strong footing. |
| 0:49.6 | Really you've come from a five-year period in which US asset markets have substantially |
| 0:55.2 | outperformed the rest of the world. So the Federal Reserve went on a rate |
| 0:59.6 | hiking cycle, whereas the rest of the world kept rates at a negative place, and U.S. corporate earnings have |
| 1:05.2 | substantially outperformed as well, led by the mega cap tech stocks that dominate the U.S. markets. |
| 1:12.2 | On top of that, the dollar has always this sort of safe haven |
| 1:15.1 | appeal that has helped support the currency's valuation |
| 1:18.4 | through things like the trade war last year. |
| 1:20.7 | So all of these factors have driven a lot of portfolio flows from around the world |
| 1:25.0 | into U.S. markets over the last five years or so and raise the dollars valuation quite substantially. |
| 1:31.1 | So even so much so that there has been an on again |
| 1:34.3 | off again debate about whether the US government should take active steps to try to |
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