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Exchanges

Markets Update: Banks’ Stress Tests

Exchanges

Goldman Sachs

Business

4.41K Ratings

🗓️ 2 July 2020

⏱️ 12 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Richard Ramsden of Goldman Sachs Research explains what the results from U.S. banks’ latest stress tests say about the health of the industry.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to our exchanges Goldman Sachs markets update for Thursday July 2nd.

0:09.1

Each week we check them as a leader across the firm to get a quick take on what they're watching in markets.

0:13.5

I'm Jake Stewart, Global Head of Corporate Communications here at Goldman, and my guest today is

0:18.1

Richard Ramston, who runs the Financials Group in Global Investment Research

0:23.2

and has primary oversight of the Universal

0:25.8

and Large-CAP Bank sector for Goldman Sachs research.

0:29.0

Richard covers a lot of the big banks,

0:30.4

but we should note that, of course,

0:32.0

he doesn't cover Goldman Sachs itself.

0:34.0

Richard, great to have you on the program.

0:35.6

Jake, thank you for having me.

0:36.9

So late last week, Richard, the Federal Reserve announced the results of its latest

0:41.5

stress test of American banks.

0:43.0

The approach this time was a little different than previous stress tests.

0:46.3

What did the Fed do that was different and why?

0:48.8

So, you know, this is a test that's been in place now for about a decade and what they did is they made a change this year which is really being a long time coming whereby the Fed I think has tried to remove themselves a little bit from the minutia of banks setting dividends and buybacks.

1:07.3

So under the prior test, the way it worked is the banks would be given a scenario by the Federal Reserve that typically would reflect a period of very severe economic contraction.

1:19.6

The banks would take that scenario they would run it, they would figure out what they thought their losses would be under that scenario,

1:25.6

and based on that they would come up with a capital return ask. So they would set what they wanted to ask

1:31.1

for in terms of both dividends and buybacks over the next 12 months.

1:35.7

And the Fed would look at the results of that analysis that would run their own test and in

1:41.0

essence they would give the bank either a pass or a fail so the bank

...

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