Turkey’s Runoff Election, Debt Ceiling Dangers, Nigeria’s Tinubu Inaugurated as President, and More

The World Next Week

Council on Foreign Relations

Politics, News, News:politics

4.6 • 845 Ratings

🗓️ 25 May 2023

⏱️ 28 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and his opponent Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu face off in Turkey’s runoff election; U.S. government leaders contend with a looming deadline to avoid a disastrous default; president-elect Bola Tinubu is sworn in as Nigeria contends with an economic crisis; Evan Gershkovich’s pre-trial detention is extended; and Sudan struggles to find a lasting solution to the conflict between the military and a paramilitary group, exacerbating its humanitarian crisis. Mentioned on the Podcast Steven Cook, “Here’s How to Read Turkey’s Election Results—So Far,” CFR.org Mariel Ferragamo and Diana Roy, “What Is the Extent of Sudan’s Humanitarian Crisis?,” CFR.org Ebenezer Obadare, “Why Buhari Failed,” CFR.org For an episode transcript and show notes, visit us at: https://www.cfr.org/podcasts/turkeys-runoff-election-debt-ceiling-dangers-nigerias-tinubu-inaugurated-president-and

Transcript

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0:00.0	In the coming week, Turkey heads into a runoff election.
0:06.0	The U.S. nears its deadline to raise the debt ceiling, and Bola Tanubu is inaugurated as Nigeria's president.
0:12.0	It's May 25, 2023, in time for the world next week. I'm Bob McMahon.
0:28.0	And I'm Carla Ann Robbins.
0:30.3	So, Bob, great to see you.
0:31.8	Likewise.
0:32.3	Let's start in Turkey.
0:34.1	The results of the presidential elections in mid-May seemed to surprise pretty much everybody.
0:38.3	The polls, the analyst, you know, high inflation, devastating earthquake.
0:42.3	All this suggested it was going to be the end of the Erdogan era.
0:45.3	Instead, Erdogan came away with 49.5% of the vote,
0:49.3	and his prime challenger, Kamal Killich Darolo, with 44.9%. So now there's going to be a runoff. This is the
0:57.0	first one ever in Turkey on May 28th. So how did Erdogan pull it off and dare we handicap the next round?
1:04.6	We can dare. I think it's worth kind of running down some of the points that were made by our
1:10.0	colleague Stephen Cook and his
1:11.2	kind of readout of the elections a week and a half ago, which is, you know, you cannot underplay
1:16.4	the power of incumbency in a country, quasi-authoritarian country like Turkey at this point.
1:22.1	And power of incumbency means things like Erdogan able to offer patronage to federal workers, to dominate the broadcast
1:29.7	media in particular. He had far more airtime on television, for example, which is where many
1:34.7	Turks get their news than did Kalishtarolu. And overall playing the nationalism card, I guess one
1:41.1	could say, really playing up the threat of Kurds. One of the opposition
1:44.8	parties that was united behind Kalishtarolu is affiliated with Kurds. And Erdogan played that up to the
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