Trump Lauds Job Statistics He Once Impugned – Ep. 234
The Peter Schiff Show Podcast
Peter Schiff
4.6 • 5.9K Ratings
🗓️ 11 March 2017
⏱️ 39 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
* I guess you could say a good jobs report is all in the eye of the beholder
* And when it comes to President Trump's eyes, he is now beholding an excellent jobs report
* Whereas a candidate, similar reports were described by Trump as phony, a hoax
* I have a lot more sympathy for Candidate Trump than I do for President Trump
* Now President Trump is trying to pretend that the jobs numbers that he used to be so critical of
* Are now reflecting what a great job he is doing as President
* When there's really no difference between the metrics of this job report and the ones we got under Obama
* With probably one exception
* And that is in the number we got is better than expected, though not as good as some had hoped, given the very strong ADP number we got earlier
* We got a surge in manufacturing jobs there was also a bump in construction jobs
* But I am very suspicious of the manufacturing jobs
* I know a lot of American manufacturers are really trying to curry favor with Donald Trump early in his Presidency
* And this could all be some Trump-related window dressing
* This is a long trend of hemorrhaging manufacturing jobs
* And I don't think this one blip necessarily means that trend has changed
* I wouldn't get too excited; it is a good thing to be creating goods-producing jobs, manufacturing jobs
* I'm not criticizing that
* But the question is, is it sustainable, is it real, or is it simply some smoke and mirrors
* Orchestrated selectively to make Trump look better early on
* So certain companies can get what they want from Trump when it comes to tax reform, or other issues where these companies may have a vested interest
* Let me go over the actual February Non-Farm Payroll numbers:
* The consensus was 200,000 jobs; 227,000 was the number created in January
* Most of that was prior to Trump becoming President, though subsequent to his election
* So we did 227,000 jobs in January and they actually revised that up to 238,000 jobs
* We did 235,000 in February, so actually slightly less, at least based on the initial estimate of jobs created in the prior month
* Unemployment rate did fall slightly from 4.8% to 4.7% and labor force participation inched up from 62.9% to 63% as more Americans re-enter the labor force
* Average hourly earnings, though, which were expected to rise .3% only rose .2%
* But they did revise the prior month from .1% .2%
* So I guess that was about a push
* .2% is not much of an increase in wages, especially when prices are rising 2-3 times as fast
* Remember January CPI was up .6 - triple the rate that wages are up
* The average work week remained the same at 34.4%
* As I said, what was a little bit different, though was the complexion of the jobs
* We did create jobs in manufacturing, for a change
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | The Peter Ships Show |
| 0:05.0 | Well, I guess you could say a good jobs report is all the eye of the beholder. |
| 0:14.6 | And when it comes to President Trump's eyes, he is now beholding an excellent job report |
| 0:21.2 | whereas as a candidate, similar reports, he described them as being phony, as being |
| 0:27.0 | a hoax. |
| 0:28.4 | And I have a lot more sympathy for candidate Trump than President Trump because now President |
| 0:34.7 | Trump is trying to pretend that the job's numbers that he used to be so critical of are |
| 0:40.4 | now reflecting what a great job he's doing as President. |
| 0:44.0 | When there's really no difference between this job report and the ones that we got under |
| 0:48.2 | Obama, we probably won exception. |
| 0:50.9 | And that is in the number that we got, which was a little bit better than estimates, but |
| 0:55.0 | not nearly as good as some people had hoped, given the very, very strong ADP number that |
| 1:00.4 | we got earlier in the week is because we did get a surge in manufacturing jobs. |
| 1:06.8 | There was also a bump in construction jobs, but I am very suspicious of the manufacturing |
| 1:12.9 | jobs because I know a lot of American manufacturers are really trying to curry favor with Donald |
| 1:19.5 | Trump early in his presidency. |
| 1:21.8 | And this could all be some Trump-related window dressing. |
| 1:24.6 | I mean, this is a long trend of hemorrhaging manufacturing jobs. |
| 1:30.0 | And I don't think this one blip necessarily means that the trend has changed. |
| 1:36.0 | And so I wouldn't get too excited. |
| 1:37.4 | I mean, it is a good thing to be creating goods producing jobs, manufacturing jobs. |
| 1:43.4 | I'm not criticizing that, but the question is, is it sustainable? |
... |
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