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The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

Fed Hikes Rates To Feign Confidence – Ep. 235

The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

Peter Schiff

Business, Politics, News, Investing, Business News

4.65.9K Ratings

🗓️ 15 March 2017

⏱️ 33 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary


* Today the Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the third time in 10 years
* Of course, the tightening cycle began with the first rate hike in December of 2015
* Followed by the second rate hike in December of last year
* And now, breaking from tradition, rather than waiting an entire year for the third hike
* We got the hike in March
* Of course the Fed had allowed market expectations to rise to 100% in anticipation of this rate hike
* When the Fed raised rates for the first time they talked about raising rates for an awfully long time before they actually got around to doing it
* Ironically, though, about 2 hours earlier than the rate hike announcement, the Atlanta Fed revised down again its projection for Q1 GDP  to .9
* Remember - at the beginning of February, not even 6 weeks ago, the Atlant Fed was at 3.4% for Q1 GDP
* They're down to .9%!  That is a huge collapse in estimates for economic growth in the first quarter
* And I'm sure it portends ill for subsequent quarters
* And remember - Janet Yellen has always said that the Federal Reserve is not on a preset course
* And that rate hikes that they are forecasting will only happen to the extent that their economic forecast pans out
* That all of their rosy expectations of economic recovery has come true
* Yet none of it has come true
* If anything, you've had a collapse in growth estimates since the last time the Fed met, yet
* The collapse in GDP forecast has done nothing to alter the Fed's path, because they've ignored all the data
* And they raised interest rates yet again
* That doesn't mean that interest rates are high, I mean they're still very low
* Remember, we're still not at a range between .75% and 1% so the average of that range, the midpoint, is still below 1%
* 1% was the emergency level that Alan Greenspan slashed rates to, after the dot com bubble bust and after the September 11 terrorist attack sent the U.S. economy into recession
* At that point, in a recession, the lowest rates got was 1%
* The Fed would have to hike rates again to get back up there
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Transcript

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0:00.0

The Peter Schiff Show.

0:07.0

Well, today the Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the third time in 10 years.

0:14.2

And of course, the tightening cycle began with the first rate hike in December of 2015,

0:21.2

followed by the second rate hike in December of last year.

0:25.2

And now breaking from tradition rather than waiting an entire year for the third hike,

0:30.4

we got the hike in March.

0:31.8

Of course, the Fed had allowed market expectations to rise to near 100 percent in anticipation

0:39.0

of this rate hike.

0:40.5

And of course, before the Fed raised rates for the first time, they talked about raising

0:44.9

rates for an awfully long time before they actually got around to doing it ironically,

0:50.4

though, about two hours earlier than the rate hike.

0:54.8

The Atlanta Fed revised down again its projection for Q1 GDP to 0.9.

1:01.8

0.9.

1:02.8

Remember, at the beginning of February, which is not even what six weeks ago, the Atlanta

1:08.3

Fed was at 3.4 percent for Q1 GDP.

1:12.7

They're down to 0.9.

1:13.7

I mean, that is a huge collapse in estimates for economic growth in the first quarter.

1:21.4

And I'm sure that it portends ill for subsequent quarters.

1:26.4

And remember, Janet Yellen has always said that the Federal Reserve is not on a preset

1:32.6

course, and that the rate hikes that they are forecasting will only happen to the extent

1:40.6

that their economic forecast pans out, right, that what they expect to happen, that all

1:46.0

there are rosy economic growth estimates, that they're all true.

...

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