Trump and the Economy - Second Time a Charm?
WSJ Opinion: Free Expression
Gerard Baker, Editor at Large, The Wall Street Journal
4.6 • 591 Ratings
🗓️ 15 January 2025
⏱️ 29 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | From the opinion pages of the Wall Street Journal, this is Free Expression with Jerry Baker. |
| 0:08.5 | Hello and welcome to free expression from the opinion page of the Wall Street Journal. |
| 0:12.4 | I'm Jerry Baker, editor at large of the journal. If you're not already subscribing to us, |
| 0:16.1 | please do sign up at Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you do you're listening. |
| 0:19.0 | With Donald Trump's second inauguration just days away, the economy looms large on the new president's agenda. Trump and his |
| 0:26.1 | economic team are keen to get straight to work, just as they did eight years ago on a big tax cut, |
| 0:32.6 | a renewal, in fact, of that Tax Cut and Jobs Act of 2017, whose provisions are set to expire this year. |
| 0:39.0 | Now, the President is also expected to issue a slew of executive orders right off the bat, |
| 0:42.8 | as soon as he takes office, aimed at deregulating the economy and boosting energy production, |
| 0:47.6 | among other things. But Donald Trump's also taking office at a time of growing anxiety in financial markets. |
| 0:53.1 | Since the Federal Reserve started cutting interest |
| 0:55.0 | rates in September, bond investors have taken fright. Bond yields have gone the other direction |
| 1:00.8 | from the Fed's policy rates. That's an unusual phenomenon. The yield on the US government's |
| 1:05.0 | 10-year treasury bond has risen by a percentage point in the last four months, as markets remain |
| 1:10.2 | nervous about inflation, which remains |
| 1:12.6 | persistently above the Fed's target of 2%, and the burgeoning fiscal deficit. Although, as we record |
| 1:18.9 | this on Wednesday, I should say, some mildly encouraging inflation numbers have helped ease the |
| 1:23.3 | bond sell off a little bit. Scott Bessent, Donald Trump's nominee for Treasury Secretary, |
| 1:28.5 | has set as a goal for the new administration's economic policy what he describes as a |
| 1:33.8 | three-three-three approach. That would be 3% GDP growth, up from the trend rate of the last few years |
| 1:41.9 | of a little over 2%, a 3% fiscal deficit, that's down |
| 1:46.7 | from the current 6.5% that we have, and an increase in oil production of 3 million barrels |
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