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This Is Not A Drill with Gavin Esler

🇺🇦 Trouble for the Oiligarchs?

This Is Not A Drill with Gavin Esler

Podmasters

News, Society & Culture, Politics

4.91.6K Ratings

🗓️ 28 March 2022

⏱️ 27 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has Western nations looking to the Middle East for their oil supplies, but are they obliging? And could the conflict in Europe spark another round of uprisings across the Arab world? Human rights activist and authoritarianism expert Iyad el-Baghdadi joins Arthur Snell to discuss what Putin’s war means for the Middle East.  We're putting out irregular war bulletins covering different aspects of the Ukraine crisis. Help our work, and shape the next full series of Doomsday Watch, by supporting us on Patreon. Resources to help the Ukrainian people can be found here: https://ukrainewar.carrd.co/ “MBS has a personal like of Putin, and in some ways he’s modelled himself on him.” “America is not going to defend MBS against a popular uprising.” “The Saudi Army cannot vanquish ragtag militias in Yemen. It needs Western security guarantees.” “Bread is the staple across the Arab region... Egypt imports 80% of its wheat from Ukraine or Russia.” “Riots about bread prices quickly turn into riots about corruption, mismanagement and repression.” “The only group who can check a dictator and end his power for good is his own people.” DOOMSDAY WATCH was written and presented by Arthur Snell, and produced by Robin Leeburn with Jacob Archbold. Theme tune and original music by Paul Hartnoll. Group Editor: Andrew Harrison. DOOMSDAY WATCH is a Podmasters production. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

I'm Arthur Snell, a major war is taking place on the European continent with Russia's

0:07.3

invasion of Ukraine. Bringing you a series of special episodes to help you understand

0:12.3

the crisis as it unfolds. This is Doomsday Watch.

0:21.3

Welcome back to Doomsday Watch. We hope you're finding these war bulletins valuable.

0:26.4

A quick reminder that you can support our work on the crowdfunding app Patreon from

0:30.7

as little as £3 per month. Just search Patreon Doomsday Watch or follow the link in the show

0:36.8

notes.

0:40.5

Ead Albagdadi rose to prominence in the aftermath of the Arab Revolutions of 2011 before being

0:46.4

forcibly exiled from his country in April 2014. Ead spoke to us in series 1 about his

0:53.8

life in hiding in Norway. He continues his work as an analyst and an activist relating

1:00.5

to issues of freedom and democracy in the Middle East as president of the Kuwakabi Centre.

1:05.5

Ead Albagdadi, welcome to Doomsday Watch. Thank you.

1:11.4

Ead, what I'm very interested to talk about is the impact on the Middle East of this

1:17.2

conflict. One of the things that we saw right at the beginning was an attempt by Western

1:23.4

leaders to get the Saudi and Emirati leadership to help them out on the energy side of things

1:29.5

to pump more oil to try and bring the price of oil down. Now when we last spoke about

1:34.6

the geopolitical stance of the Saudis in particular. So what's your take on what's

1:40.2

happened there? It seems that the Saudis have sought basically to give a cold shoulder

1:45.7

to both Joe Biden and to Boris Johnson. What do you think is going on?

1:50.0

Well, the writing was on the wall several months ago. So one of the things that my team

1:55.0

does is that we analyze this information. And sometimes from the disinformation footprint,

2:01.2

you can say, we can predict the stance that a certain government is going to take in

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