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The John Batchelor Show

TRADE: NO IMMINENT DOOM.JUST INCORRECT GLOOM. ALAN TONELSON, @GORDONGCHANG, GATESTONE, NEWSWEEK, THE HILL CONTINUED

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

News, Books, Society & Culture, Arts

4.62.7K Ratings

🗓️ 1 July 2025

⏱️ 6 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

TRADE: NO IMMINENT DOOM.JUST INCORRECT GLOOM. ALAN TONELSON, @GORDONGCHANG, GATESTONE, NEWSWEEK, THE HILL CONTINUED
1943

Transcript

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0:00.0

I'm John Datsu with my good colleague, Gordon Chang, and we're speaking with Alan

0:07.8

Tunnelson, our guide on manufacturing and trade. Gentlemen, I'd like to speak to the future.

0:13.5

And Gordon, now I unleash the Gordon wit about China. Where is China now that it, and what is its projection about what it wants?

0:23.6

Not best case scenario, but something realistic given the poor performance of the economy.

0:29.5

I don't think it's realistic for China to think that it can flood the world with products

0:33.9

that it would have otherwise sold to the U.S., but which have been shut out by President

0:38.2

Trump's tariffs. Xi Jinping talks about increasing the consumption rate in China, but never does

0:46.4

anything that would actually do that other than short-term government handouts. So, for instance,

0:52.8

May we saw a 6.4% increase in retail sales, but that was

0:57.8

due almost entirely to government subsidies, which will not last long. So Xi Jinping has a problem

1:04.3

because he is hoping to flood the world with Chinese goods, and the world is not going to accept the Chinese and decimating their manufacturing sectors.

1:15.0

Alan, I was surprised this morning at the FT writing an essay about what they called the

1:20.0

vulnerabilities holding back Chinese industry.

1:22.9

You're going to be shocked what the vulnerability number one is.

1:26.1

Quality control.

1:29.1

Are you shocked, Alan? Quality control. Right. I mean, who to thunk, right? That Chinese manufacturing might be riddled with quality

1:40.8

control problems. I mean, this is, after all, a country that clearly doesn't care

1:48.3

about environmental problems. It clearly doesn't care about labor rights. It clearly doesn't

1:53.8

care about factory conditions. And it's been counting on keeping prices super, super cheap in order to penetrate global markets.

2:03.6

But I think global markets are finally catching up and recognizing that that China price,

2:10.8

although when we're talking about that surface price looks very low, the actual China price in terms of how it's going to affect larger manufacturing operations,

2:21.0

that's way too high.

...

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