TPP556: Can you still trust the 18-year property cycle?
The Property Podcast
Rob Bence & Rob Dix
4.8 • 2K Ratings
🗓️ 9 November 2023
⏱️ 32 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to the Property Podcast. Rob D here. No Rob B this week, but don't worry, I found a pretty good replacement. |
| 0:20.0 | This week I'm chatting to Ackle Patel, whose work on the property cycle we've been following since all the way back in 2014. |
| 0:27.0 | And ever since then, Akil's knowledge of the cycle has allowed him to be very right about what's going to happen next over times when a lot of other people |
| 0:34.6 | have been very, very wrong. |
| 0:36.7 | I wanted to catch up with Ackle for a couple of reasons. |
| 0:39.2 | Firstly, his book, The Secret Wealth Advantage, came out recently, so I wanted to ask him some questions about that. |
| 0:44.4 | But also, as you'll know, if you listen to episode 542 back in August, |
| 0:48.7 | Rob and I have been having some doubts about the property cycle. |
| 0:51.6 | And in that episode, we came up with a couple of alternative scenarios about how things |
| 0:55.8 | might pan out, and I wanted to put those scenarios to the expert and hear what he had to say. |
| 1:01.1 | And his answers, I think, were very revealing and have certainly given me a lot to think about when it comes to my own views. |
| 1:07.0 | So I'm sure you will love this episode and without further ado here's my conversation with Akel Patel. |
| 1:12.0 | Akel I hope you're feeling a weight of responsibility because it's down to you to defend the 18-year |
| 1:17.5 | property cycle on the property podcast because Rob and I are losing the faith. |
| 1:22.0 | We could talk a bit about why. We're falling into this time a different trap. I know we're doing it, but I still can't fight against it. Are you still on for a 2026 finish all there about? |
| 1:32.8 | A peak in 2026, yes I am. |
| 1:34.8 | Maybe, I suppose I should ask you the question, |
| 1:37.3 | why are you losing the faith? |
| 1:38.6 | Yeah, I suppose, it's because. |
| 1:41.3 | So if we consider ourselves to be what like three two three years out from a |
| 1:46.1 | peak we just feel so far from that behavior you know so we're clearly in sort of like a minor decline at the moment across most |
| 1:56.8 | parts of the country. I know that other countries are irrelevant as well, but I say probably |
... |
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