Timing is Almost Nothing
The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group
4.9 • 572 Ratings
🗓️ 13 November 2020
⏱️ 16 minutes
🔗️ Recording | Apple Podcasts | RSS
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Summary
I wrote this week’s Dividend Cafe on Thursday morning, something I haven’t done for a Friday publication in a long time. For virtually all of 2020 there was a huge focus on making the distributed commentary as “current” as possible before submitting. Markets were moving so quickly that if the focus of the commentary was on what was happening in the markets, any delay between submission and distribution was likely to result in some part of the message being “obsolete” by the time it got to you, the readers.
Indeed, as I type this beautiful Thursday morning, I have no idea what the markets will do on Thursday, let alone Friday. But I don’t particularly care, for reasons I will explain inside the Dividend Cafe.
I have been writing the weekly market commentary since the financial crisis, and a large portion of you know. I am grateful to all of you who have stuck with the reading of this for so long. It has really always been written “as I go” throughout the week, sometimes with a lot of weekend reading the week before driving some of the message, and almost always with bit by bit writing throughout the week leading to the eventual finished product. I may get inspired on a Monday morning about emerging markets and write something then, and find a development in rate policy on Tuesday and write more still, then. It has always been the culmination of many hours of reading and writing work throughout a week.
Well that brings me to this week’s Dividend Cafe, and the topic of the here and now. Some reflections are in order, and I hope my reflections will resonate with you to some degree, and even provide some investment application that speaks to your situation. So without further adieu …
Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to the Dividing Cafe weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio and dividends in your understanding of economic life. |
| 0:13.0 | Hello and welcome to this week's Dividend Cafe podcast and video. Those of you watching on video are aware of the fact that I am about as dressed |
| 0:24.7 | down as I do for this week's Dividend Cafe. And that's because as I'm sitting and recording, |
| 0:30.3 | I'm about five minutes away from leaving the country for the weekend. And so I'm recording |
| 0:36.9 | in the middle of the market day on Thursday |
| 0:38.8 | and you're hearing this Friday and I have absolutely no idea what the market will do |
| 0:45.6 | by the close of Thursday, let alone into Friday. And that actually is the topic of this |
| 0:52.1 | week's Dividing Cafe. I decided to try and take my willingness to go unplug for a day, |
| 1:02.8 | which really very, very seriously, |
| 1:06.0 | is the first day in well over 10 years that I have done so. |
| 1:10.6 | But particularly around the writing |
| 1:12.7 | a Divided Cafe, the kind of day-to-day realities of the market, the contrast to represents to what |
| 1:19.7 | we were doing with Dividend Cafe and our own mentality and client communications earlier in the |
| 1:25.5 | year in the peak of the COVID or the development of the |
| 1:28.3 | COVID anxiety. |
| 1:30.3 | I decided to try to turn all this into the actual subject of the Dividing Cafe, and I'll |
| 1:35.6 | explain what I mean by that here. |
| 1:38.7 | The simple reality is that there's no reason in the world that I couldn't record or shouldn't record |
| 1:48.3 | Diving Cafe every Thursday morning, even before the market opens, what have you, and send it out |
| 1:56.2 | Friday. |
| 1:57.1 | I think we generally send it late morning or early afternoon. |
| 2:00.9 | And have that sort of real-time market sensitivity and timing reality |
... |
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