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The Dividend Cafe

Thursday - March 26, 2026

The Dividend Cafe

The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group

Business, Retirement Planning, Dividend Growth Investing, Estate Planning, Monetary Policy, Wealth Management, Macro Economics, Investing

4.9569 Ratings

🗓️ 26 March 2026

⏱️ 8 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

On Thursday, March 26, Brian Szytel reports a broad market selloff (Dow down over 400 points, S&P down ~1.5%, Nasdaq down ~2%) driven by rotation out of AI/social-media tech and into energy and staples as Brent and WTI oil rise over 4% amid U.S.-Iran tensions and Strait of Hormuz disruptions. He notes the disruption also affects helium transport, with 27% of global helium transiting the strait and Taiwan sourcing about 69% of its helium that way, posing potential chip-production risks if prolonged. He outlines a U.S. “15-point plan” for Iran and warns failed negotiations could escalate, including actions on Iranian energy assets and possible ground troop deployment. Bonds also sell off after three weak Treasury auctions, pushing the 10-year yield up about 10 bps. He advises against trading around geopolitical events and explains WTI is globally priced. Initial jobless claims were 210,000, with muted labor-market activity.

00:00 Market Selloff Recap

00:41 Oil Surge and Strait Risks

01:00 Helium and Chip Supply Threat

02:05 US Iran 15 Point Plan

03:15 Bonds Slide and Yields Jump

03:39 Don’t Trade Geopolitics

04:19 Who Sets WTI Prices

05:17 Jobless Claims Check In

05:59 Wrap Up and Sign Off

Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com

TheBahnsenGroup.com

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome to the Dividend Cafe weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio and dividends in your understanding of economic life.

0:10.0

Welcome to Dividend Cafe this Thursday, March the 26th, Brian Saitel with you from our West Palm Beach, Florida office, still here all week. And we had a give-back day

0:23.1

in markets. We've got a decent sell-off here. I'm actually recording this slightly before the

0:28.6

close, but the market has been trailing lower for the entire trading day. We're down a little over

0:34.8

400 points on the Dow, about a percent and a half on the

0:38.4

S&P and about two on the NASDAQ. So this is another big rotation day. You're saying the selloff

0:43.0

and AI related names, specifically social media type of tech companies, and much more outperformance,

0:49.7

specifically in energy, obviously, and in some of the staples. And you've got a decent move up in oil.

0:56.7

Brent and WTI are both up over 4% on the day. And this is about U.S. and Iran ongoing and

1:04.2

negotiations that either are or aren't happening in progress that either is or isn't being made.

1:09.5

But what it's doing is sending oil prices back higher.

1:12.8

There's still a closure in the Strait of Hormuz, and it's disrupting energy transport, but it's

1:17.6

also disrupting things like helium transport. And I wrote about this a week ago, but technically

1:22.9

27% of the world's helium goes through there as well. And when you think about countries like Taiwan,

1:28.6

where the largest semiconductor and chip foundry exists in the world, they use helium to cool

1:34.8

down the chips as they build them. And it's specific to that purpose and it's necessary.

1:40.7

And Taiwan gets about 69% of its helium through the Strait of Hormuz.

1:45.4

So as of now, there isn't a chip shortage and there isn't necessarily a disruption.

1:49.4

There has been a move higher in pricing.

1:52.2

But as this goes on farther, there's also that risk as well.

1:55.9

And if you think about the world needing oil, I would definitely put that above new chips,

2:00.3

but chips are right up on the

...

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