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Wall Street Breakfast

Three forces that defined 2025

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business News, News, Business, Investing

4.11K Ratings

🗓️ 26 December 2025

⏱️ 7 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Consumer sentiment revised lower for December as year-ahead inflation expectation revised up a tick. Tech giants brace to spend billions more in CapEx as AI race heats up.  2026 S&P 500 Outlook: I'm The Lone Bull In The China Shop.

Episode transcripts seekingalpha.com/wsb.

Show links: 
Top Stocks 2026
Jack Bowman-Bowman Capital Management
Investment News Quiz - Friday, Dec. 26
Tariffs: Latest news and analysis

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Breakfast, where we cover the top news for investors every morning.

0:07.7

Good morning. It's good to have you here on this Friday, December 26th. I'm Julie Morgan.

0:14.1

2025 has been a year, but don't we say the same thing at the end of every year?

0:20.0

Well, today we're looking at the year as a whole and remembering three big topics that

0:24.8

shape 2025 and we're peaking into 2026.

0:29.2

Of course, this is a countdown.

0:31.1

So we're starting off with number three, vibe session.

0:34.7

There's this disconnect between the average person and how they feel about the

0:38.3

economy and what the economic data says about the economy. That's Jack Bowman with Bowman Capital

0:44.6

Management on Seeking Alpha. One of the big major players in like consumer sentiment,

0:49.3

which is at an all-time low and largely driven by this feeling that the economy is not as good

0:54.0

as the data says it is.

0:55.1

The most recent data shows the consumer price index rose 2.7% year-over-year in November.

1:01.6

Although it's very regionally dependent, right? Where I live in Southern California, our year-over-year

1:06.4

inflation was 4.5%. But someone in Dallas saw 1.1% way far off.

1:12.2

December consumer's sentiment was revised down to 52.9, from the University of Michigan's

1:18.7

initial estimate to 53.3, though to improve from 51 in November. Gains and sentiment were concentrated

1:26.7

among lower-income consumers, while sentiments

1:29.9

among higher income consumers remained steady. Meanwhile, year-ahead inflation expectations

1:35.7

declined for a fourth straight month to 4.2%, the lowest level in 11 months, though still above

1:42.6

the 3.3% recorded in January.

1:46.1

So what could potentially turn things around?

...

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