The Shutdown That Could Decide the Midterms

The Chris Cuomo Project

Chris Cuomo

News, News Commentary, Politics, Government

4.6 • 3.3K Ratings

🗓️ 28 October 2025

⏱️ 30 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

Chris Cuomo breaks down how the looming government shutdown and economic frustration are shaping the midterm elections — from tariffs and health care costs to the political messaging war over who’s to blame. He looks at what’s really driving voters’ anger and why both parties are struggling to connect with the middle. Cuomo also examines how Kalshi’s political betting markets are tracking the race in real time, showing where the smart money thinks control of Congress could land. With inflation stubborn, wages lagging, and families squeezed, Cuomo argues that the real election issue isn’t ideology — it’s survival. Support our sponsors: http://kalshi.com/?utm_source=chriscuomoGo to https://shopbeam.com/CUOMO and use code CUOMO at checkout. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0	If you want to know who's going to win the midterms, you have to determine who's going to win the shutdown.
0:06.0	And I think I know, but I have an inside scoop.
0:14.0	Chris Cuomo here. Welcome to the Chris Cuomo Project. Why, let's question the premise, why is the
0:23.0	shutdown relevant to the midterms? Now, I would see that, and you probably agree, that's a little
0:26.9	bit of a duh. This is one of the major calamities that we've seen. If you look at the first Trump
0:33.5	administration, that 30-some-odd-day shutdown certainly loomed large in people's minds
0:39.7	when Trump got cleaned in the first set of midterms. Why? Because no matter how cynical everybody is,
0:49.6	no matter how much division is forced on us, and I do believe that because I'm different, right? And I am
0:56.1	disruptive of the norm that we're all supposed to think everybody hates each other. I just, I don't
1:00.4	believe it. I think it's exaggerated because people get paid to exaggerate it. The algorithms,
1:06.3	the monetizers, the influencers, you know, I think that's how they're getting paid, so that's what
1:11.8	they're selling. However, shutdowns matter. Why? There is an expectation that you will do something,
1:19.3	because you promised me to do something. And I think the idea of, yeah, what I promised you I would
1:24.3	do is resist. I will oppose.
1:28.4	I don't know that it gets it done, certainly for Democrats.
1:32.1	Okay?
1:33.1	So I have enlisted our friends at Kalshi, because they are the largest U.S. prediction market.
1:41.6	Now, remember, these are real money markets, right? People who are
1:45.8	trading on what they think will happen. And I honestly, pun intended, think there's real currency
1:52.1	in that for our analysis. They've turned out to be pretty accurate. Why? Because money's on the
1:59.1	line. That's why. And I think they're really right in there with
2:02.8	the odds making, the bookmaking that I've seen in sports, to be honest. I mean, their percentages are
	...

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