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The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens

The Real Global Macro | Frankly #28

The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens

Nate Hagens

Science, Earth Sciences, Natural Sciences

4.8554 Ratings

🗓️ 6 April 2023

⏱️ 13 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Recorded April 4, 2023

 

Description

 

In this Frankly, Nate shares his early Wall Street experience of 'squawkboxes' summarizing the daily financial Global Macro events and compares it to present day, where we find ourselves faced with the real Global Macro news - the systemic nexus of economic, environmental, and geopolitical risks and realities. From sea surface temperatures at all-time recorded highs, to the threat of nuclear war, to failing nation-states - how does a single person make sense of and cope with a 24 hour news flow reporting our increasingly chaotic world? Our cultural challenges are now far greater than stock markets and currency movements. We need people paying attention, understanding, and engaging with the 'real' Global Macro.

To Watch on Youtube: https://youtu.be/TtYpW2GQGHc

For Show Notes and More: https://www.thegreatsimplification.com/frankly-original/28-the-real-global-macro

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

When I worked on Wall Street back in the day, I had to leave my apartment in Chicago, take a cab to the Sears Tower at 5.15 in the morning to be there at 6 and for a while memorize Intel, Apple, Home Depot, stock symbols.

0:20.3

But then we had to be there for the morning macro

0:22.8

call. We had these little squawk boxes, these little four-inch by four-inch speakers, where

0:30.2

the experts on interest rates and the economy and earnings would broadcast to the Solomon

0:37.1

Brothers network around the world.

0:39.3

What happened overnight?

0:41.3

So there is something called global macro, which is every morning now and today, people read

0:49.3

summaries of the news that happened in currency markets or interest rate or stock market or the economic

0:56.1

data that happened in Europe or the United States or China.

1:02.3

This can be a full-time job for those people in the hunting and gathering by amassing digital claims on reality space in Wall Street and finance

1:17.8

around the world.

1:20.1

There's a lot of news.

1:21.1

We saw that the Federal Reserve is kind of having to pivot from a tightening cycle to an easing cycle because of the economy

1:30.5

slowing rapidly because of the duration risk in the banking system and the payroll employment

1:40.4

numbers coming in showing a weaker economy.

1:46.5

Inflation is still high, but is moderating versus where it was before.

1:53.1

Personally, I don't know how much control the Fed has on some of these things.

1:58.2

But today we saw stocks down and gold up $40. We saw recently that

2:04.5

OPEC cut a million barrels of production, which boosted oil $4 a barrel. This is

2:11.0

simultaneous with some other things going on that China has brokered somewhat of a piece between Saudi Arabia and Iran.

2:22.3

We see that the U.S. still has not replenished the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, which again,

2:30.3

is kind of like, let's save American consumers a little bit at the gas pump so that

...

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