Hey, hey, where you been, but got talk is about to begin, hey, hey, hey, come on in, welcome back to Fending the Buck guys on Buck I Tom.

Double Avery's all with the great Tyler Schumaker, the official bookmaker of Buck I talk we do it every Friday, of course, you know we preview the game on our other Friday podcast Nathan Steven and I do that John Steppie of the Souter Rapids because that joined us to talk about I of this week Iowa this week and then tissue and I come here and talk about the Ohio State game from a gambling perspective we make our picks for five power conference games and we get in the weeds and tissue gives us some best bets Tyler

This is a weird freaking game game. It's like a 29 and a half or 30 point edge that Ohio State is favored by yet the over under is only like 49 right 49 and a half. How odd is it? And that you don't have to say like from the algorithm perspective, but like isn't it weird to look at this betting line and think how could a team be favored by 30?

Or nearly 30, but yet the total is not even 50 like they think the scores gonna be like 40. Yeah, like 38 to 10 39 to 10 something like that. Yeah, like that's weird. Yeah, no, it definitely is weird and kind of jarring to see like, you know, especially when I have it on my sheet here, you know in relation to all the other games. It's like you just don't see that very often.

So what the one of the things I like to do here, I like all of it. I like this part. It's fun.

Because the money I lose is fake, but the one of the things I like is like I just like to get inside your ratings a little bit because you've devised this system.

And it's Iowa is a difficult team to get a handle on because like raw statistically and even some of the more in depth statistics, they're really high. They'll be top 10 in the country defensively and they're bottom 10 in the country offensively.

How do you how do your ratings figure that out? Again, does that make this weird when a team is so lopsided. They're literally playing nine six and 10 seven kind of games.

I don't know. Does it break the computer?

Well, especially in contrast to, you know, high state team that lights the scoreboard up. So it's even like, you know, even more emphasized there.

But I've got Iowa power rated overall 19th in the country. And again, like you said, that's that's in large part to their defensive rating, which I've got them fourth in opponent adjusted defense.

Highest dates 10th, but then you look on the offensive side of high states number one, you know, highest, Ohio State's number one and offensive rating by my metrics by five four points over Tennessee.

And Iowa is way down there.

They're outside the top 75. I'm scrolling. I still don't even see him. So, okay, you know, we know they're bad.

Your buddy, Brian, Ference, not doing a great job.

We may come to blows on Saturday. I'm not really not really just verbal blows. Like if, like if I would say, if I saw him and I said, I would say something like this, I would say, would say like this, I'd say, hey, Brian.

You're not qualified to have your job. And then he'd be like, who were you? Get out of my face. Like just like that, you know, like a thing like that. So that might happen. That might happen on Saturday.

What, so at this line's like 29 and a half 30. Is that fit? What your numbers are telling you or are you, or do you have a, would you have a different line for this game?

Yeah, it's, it's pretty high. I mean, I would make it like 23 and a half.

Okay. And then as far as the total, I actually have the total at 46. So, yeah, I'm a little lower on the total. But again, my numbers and odds makers, because I mean, Ohio State's gone over. I think in four straight games. I mean, the metrics are having a hard time catching up with how good the Ohio State offense is. And then when you try to factor in everyone should be healthy this week, you know, that there's another wrench in it. So even though my number is, you know, technically,

on the under, I, I wouldn't bet it under here just on the off chance that, you know, getting JS in back and, and my unhealthy and, and Travian healthy. That's a recipe. I wouldn't want to, wouldn't want to bet under on that.

I do not, you don't want to know. Don't listen to the preview show. Don't listen to the preview show and what Nathan Steve and I all did. The total scares. I said, I said on that show. It just scares me because

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