The Markets: Fed rate hikes, banking stress & debt limit concerns
Exchanges
Goldman Sachs
4.3 • 1.1K Ratings
🗓️ 5 May 2023
⏱️ 8 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Another bank takeover, another interest rate hike, another debt ceiling scare. |
| 0:18.0 | Feeling some deja vu? This is the markets, a new series from Goldman Sachs exchanges. |
| 0:23.0 | Hi, I'm Sam Grobart. |
| 0:27.0 | Today we're talking to Ashish Shah, chief investment officer of public investing in asset and wealth |
| 0:31.6 | management. Ashish, thanks for joining us today. |
| 0:34.4 | Great to be here. |
| 0:35.4 | So the big event this week was the feds raising interest rates by a quarter percent. |
| 0:40.2 | How have markets reacted to this decision? |
| 0:43.2 | So we saw a rally in the front end of the curve. |
| 0:46.9 | So markets now expecting rates to be a little bit lower based on their comments and stocks |
| 0:52.1 | sell-off. So what leads that to be the case? |
| 0:55.0 | Well, I think that the Fed really transmitted a pause and see message to the market |
| 1:01.0 | and so I think the market thinks that that's not going to be enough |
| 1:04.0 | it's going to be waiting for the pivot and what is that pivot going to be do you |
| 1:08.2 | think well I think that that pivot is going to be a question of does the Fed have to start cutting rates |
| 1:16.0 | enough and quickly enough in order to help stabilize the economy so that there's this real question as to whether the Fed is done hiking and I think that without question the Fed is supposed to be done hiking. They continue to hike that they're going to really create issues within the economy. |
| 1:37.0 | But I think on top of that, it may have been that they've hiked too much, |
| 1:41.0 | and we're seeing those cracks within the system you emerge and how those |
| 1:45.8 | cracks transmit into the real economy is going to be the question of what they |
| 1:49.6 | have to do going forward including pivoting to cutting rates. |
| 1:53.8 | What other data points or signals do you think were notable from that meeting? |
| 1:58.0 | So I think that Powell wanted to start off with a more hawkish tone because they are still playing the game of bringing |
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