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Bloomberg Surveillance

The Market Rally and NATO Summit

Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloomberg

Business, Investing, Business News, News

3.81.2K Ratings

🗓️ 7 July 2026

⏱️ 35 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The latest in finance, economics and investment.
Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyTuesday, July 7, 2026
Featuring:

1) Steven Major, Global Macro Advisor at Tradition, talks about the yen trap and real yield illusion
2) Michael Darda, Chief Economist at Roth Capital Partners, on labor market stability and Fed patience
3) Michael Green, Chief Strategist at Simplify Asset Management, talks about AI Thermodynamics and profits as well as affordability in America.
4) Rose Gottemoeller, former deputy secretary-general of NATO and former U.S. Under Secretary of State for Arms Control and International Security, talks about the NATO summit amid her new Foreign Affairs article, "The Strange Defeat of Nuclear Deterrence And the Coming Crisis in Strategic Stability."

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcript

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0:00.0

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0:04.9

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0:27.4

slash SBS-Sys Singapore.

0:31.8

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0:37.1

Music studios. Podcasts, Radio News.

0:45.1

This is the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcasts.

0:51.9

Catch us live weekdays at 7 a.m. Eastern on Apple CarPlay or Android Auto with the Bloomberg business app.

0:56.8

Listen on demand wherever you get your podcasts or watch us live on YouTube.

1:00.3

Stephen Major is Global MacroAdvisor a tradition.

1:06.2

He is absolutely on the high ground of a broader disinflationary tendency.

1:10.4

Stephen, thank you for your patience and waiting at the NATO meetings.

1:17.0

Do we still have in place a disinflationary tendency, or is it unanchored?

1:25.1

Well, it looks from the basis of the break-evens that there is the markets believe in disinflation. And clearly, clearly, that's coming from the sharp drop in energy

1:30.2

prices, or at least from the oil price, first of all. So that is disinflationary. And it goes

1:36.3

against the mainstream consensus view that was for higher inflation. And I think that's why it's so

1:43.7

powerful for markets, Tom, because everyone was positioned for higher inflation. And I think that that's why it's so powerful for markets, Tom,

1:45.4

because everyone was positioned for higher inflation and higher inflation risk premium,

1:50.6

but you just don't see it happening. The market is going the other way. Now, I think that's

1:55.9

interesting. Not everyone's agreeing with me, because what's happening is people are reading

2:00.5

the higher nominal

...

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