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The Gist

The Last Frontier

The Gist

Peach Fish Productions

News, Daily News

4.53.7K Ratings

🗓️ 27 October 2020

⏱️ 38 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

On the Gist, don't worry about things you can't control. In the interview, Alaska Public Media's Nat Herz joins Mike to talk about the races above the lower 48. Herz details the dramatic Alaskan Senate race between Al Gross and Daniel Sullivan, how the Pebble Mine scandal and the salmon fishing industry are important points of discussion, and how the presidential campaigns have been able to pound the pavement in Alaska. Cue Sarah Palin appearing as a surrogate for the Trump campaign in a Cabela's parking lot. In the spiel, clinging to hope. Email us at thegist@slate.com Podcast production by Daniel Schroeder and Margaret Kelley. Slate Plus members get bonus segments and ad-free podcast feeds. Sign up now. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

The following podcast may be a little dirty, but forget about that.

0:04.0

I'm going to tell you to go to our Twitter feed at SlateGis.com.

0:13.0

It's Tuesday, October 27th, 2020, from Slate, it's the Gisdai Mike Pesca.

0:17.0

It's a week before the election, and I am not worried, because I don't worry about things I can't control,

0:23.0

and I have an end to my The Bliss Jean.

0:27.0

But if I didn't have The Bliss Jean, or if my self-diagnosis say we're all an exquisitely constructed parapet

0:33.0

to keep discomforting a motion in and feelings of vulnerability out,

0:37.0

I would be what the Normies call worried.

0:41.0

Not about anything empirical, the polls aren't exactly tightening.

0:45.0

Biden is up by 5 in Wisconsin, according to the only poll that's been released in the last week

0:52.0

from a pollster that gets an A rating from 538, that pollster is Fox, by the way.

0:57.0

And Biden is up by 5.3 in Pennsylvania, according to 538 modeling.

1:02.0

So what this means is that if one out of every 38 pro-biden voters were to change their minds

1:10.0

and switch their votes and say, I don't know, squirt because fracking or squirt because hunter or squirt

1:16.0

because this current unrest in Philadelphia, that would be the difference in deciding the state.

1:22.0

If that number is right.

1:24.0

Yeah, I said one in 38 and I know one in 38 is in 5%, but I also said, change their minds and switch their vote.

1:31.0

And that's how it works.

1:32.0

To 1.5% leave Biden, to 1.5% little more actually, go to Trump.

1:36.0

That's how these things can happen and how these things might be closer than they seem.

1:41.0

Or maybe, you know, just one in 50 people changes his or her mind.

1:46.0

Then another 1.5% Biden voters who put their vote in the mail, doesn't get a postmark by election day.

...

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