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The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett

The Iran War Expert: The Most Dangerous Stage Begins Now

The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett

FlightStory

Education, Society & Culture, Business

4.517.8K Ratings

🗓️ 13 April 2026

⏱️ 97 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

4 weeks ago he predicted America would send troops to Iran, now Robert Pape returns to reveal what could happen next! Robert Pape is a Professor of Political Science at the University of Chicago and one of the world's leading authorities on military strategy and security affairs. He has advised every White House since 9/11 on military strategy and bombing campaigns and is the author of 'Our Own Worst Enemies: America and the Age of Violent Populism'. He explains: ◼ The 4-stage escalation trap and why every prediction he made has come true ◼ How Iran and Russia controlling 30% of the world's oil could crash your economy ◼ Why killing Iran's leaders is making the country stronger, not weaker ◼ Why America can bomb Iran's nuclear sites but still can't stop them getting the bomb ◼ The only deal that could stop Iran getting nuclear weapons and why it probably won't happen Chapters 00:00:00 Intro 00:04:18 20 Years Of War Games Predicted This Conflict 00:06:04 Bombing Iran’s Nuclear Sites Might Backfire 00:07:42 How US Pressure Strengthened Iran 00:11:59 Iran’s Hidden Power Structure Revealed 00:14:37 The Final Stage Of The Escalation Trap 00:17:11 Iran As The Fourth Global Power Center 00:23:53 What Happens Next If No One Backs Down 00:26:04 Iran Has Been Seriously Underestimated 00:27:22 Is US Intelligence Reliant On Israel? 00:31:45 What If This Turns Into A Ground War 00:40:03 A Civilization Could Die Tonight 00:43:59 What This War Means For Ordinary Iranians 00:50:05 Ads 00:52:13 Is The US Locked Into A Long War? 00:55:22 Iran’s 10-Point Plan Explained 00:57:14 The Shifting Global Power Balance 01:00:53 Why US Oil Prices Are Rising 01:04:48 If You Were Trump: What Would You Do? 01:06:59 If Israel Joins The Nuclear Treaty 01:09:37 What Experts Think Happens Next 01:13:29 Ads 01:15:23 What Iran Would Do With Nuclear Weapons 01:17:36 Has Trump Lost Control? 01:21:05 What This Means For Europe 01:28:05 What Can The Average Person Do? Enjoyed the episode? Share this link and earn points for every referral - redeem them for exclusive prizes: https://doac-perks.com  Follow Robert: X - https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/6mSph0Q Website - https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/B78CjwW You can purchase Robert’s book, ‘Our Own Worst Enemies: America and the Age of Violent Populism’, here: https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/Ajkhyts  The Diary Of A CEO: ◼ Join DOAC circle here - https://doaccircle.com/  ◼ Buy The Diary Of A CEO book here - https://smarturl.it/DOACbook  ◼ The 1% Diary is back - limited time only: https://bit.ly/3YFbJbt  ◼ The Diary Of A CEO Conversation Cards (Second Edition): https://g2ul0.app.link/f31dsUttKKb  ◼ Get email updates - https://bit.ly/diary-of-a-ceo-yt  ◼ Follow Steven - https://g2ul0.app.link/gnGqL4IsKKb   Sponsors: Wispr - Get 14 days of Wispr Flow for free at https://wisprflow.ai/steven Vivobarefoot - https://vivobarefoot.com/DOAC with code STEVENB15 for15% off Ketone - https://ketone.com/STEVEN for 30% off your subscription order

Transcript

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0:00.0

Iran has figured out that we can't beat them.

0:03.1

We're not weakening Iran.

0:04.8

We have strengthened Iran.

0:06.8

And we can't stop their drone attacks.

0:10.9

And what you're seeing is far more chaotic decision-making is happening in the White House

0:15.4

than's happening in the government of Iran.

0:17.4

And it's evidence. Trump is losing power.

0:20.4

So when I look through the response to the last conversation, the audience had lots of different types of Iran. And it's evidence. Trump is losing power. So when I look through the response to the last

0:22.4

conversation, the audience had lots of different types of questions. Like there's 90 or million people

0:26.5

stuck right in the heart of this that often don't really have a voice. What do you think happens

0:30.0

next for them? And what is Israel's role in this? Well, Israel is playing two roles here that have

0:35.2

not helped us correctly assess the situation.

0:38.1

And we'll talk about that.

0:39.2

And then what do you think happens with Europe?

0:40.8

NATO is, for all practical purposes, dead.

0:45.0

And what happens next?

0:45.8

So for 21 years, I laid out what a hypothetical bombing campaign of Iran would look like.

0:52.3

And when I was here last time, every single thing we talked about unfolded in the first

0:57.3

several weeks of the war.

0:59.2

So when you did this 21 years of modeling these attacks, how did America come out of this

1:04.1

situation?

1:04.7

So there was a consistent set of findings.

...

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